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We study a setting where Bayesian agents with a common prior have private information related to an event's outcome and sequentially make public announcements relating to their information. Our main result shows that when agents' private…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Yuqing Kong , Grant Schoenebeck

Peer prediction mechanisms are often adopted to elicit truthful contributions from crowd workers when no ground-truth verification is available. Recently, mechanisms of this type have been developed to incentivize effort exertion, in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-12-05 Yang Liu , Yiling Chen

Human groups are able to converge on more accurate beliefs through deliberation, even in the presence of polarization and partisan bias -- a phenomenon known as the "wisdom of partisan crowds." Generated agents powered by Large Language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Yun-Shiuan Chuang , Siddharth Suresh , Nikunj Harlalka , Agam Goyal , Robert Hawkins , Sijia Yang , Dhavan Shah , Junjie Hu , Timothy T. Rogers

With the development of mobile social networks, more and more crowdsourced data are generated on the Web or collected from real-world sensing. The fragment, heterogeneous, and noisy nature of online/offline crowdsourced data, however, makes…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-08-08 Bin Guo , Huihui Chen , Yan Liu , Chao Chen , Qi Han , Zhiwen Yu

Recommender systems help people cope with the problem of information overload. A recently proposed adaptive news recommender model [Medo et al., 2009] is based on epidemic-like spreading of news in a social network. By means of agent-based…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-17 Giulio Cimini , Matus Medo , Tao Zhou , Dong Wei , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Recommender systems often rely on models which are trained to maximize accuracy in predicting user preferences. When the systems are deployed, these models determine the availability of content and information to different users. The gap…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Sarah Dean , Sarah Rich , Benjamin Recht

The recent boom in crowdsourcing has opened up a new avenue for utilizing human intelligence in the realm of data analysis. This innovative approach provides a powerful means for connecting online workers to tasks that cannot effectively be…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-29 Chen Jason Zhang , Yunrui Liu , Pengcheng Zeng , Ting Wu , Lei Chen , Pan Hui , Fei Hao

An agent makes decisions based on multiple sources of information. In isolation, each source is well understood, but their correlation is unknown. We study the agent's robustly optimal strategies -- those that give the best possible…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-09-11 Henrique de Oliveira , Yuhta Ishii , Xiao Lin

I develop a rather simple agent-based model to capture a co-evolution of opinion formation, political decision making and economic outcomes. I use this model to study how societies form opinions if their members have opposing interests.…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-19 Patrick Mellacher

How can we approach the truth in a society? It may depend on various factors. In this paper, using a well-established truth seeking model, we show that the persistent free information flow will bring us to the truth. Here the free…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Wei Su , Yongguang Yu

It is important to collect credible training samples $(x,y)$ for building data-intensive learning systems (e.g., a deep learning system). Asking people to report complex distribution $p(x)$, though theoretically viable, is challenging in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Jiaheng Wei , Zuyue Fu , Yang Liu , Xingyu Li , Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang

In many settings -- like market research and social choice -- people may be presented with unfamiliar options. Classical mechanisms may perform poorly because they fail to incentivize people to learn about these options, or worse, encourage…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-22 Modibo K. Camara , Nicole Immorlica , Brendan Lucier

We present a novel methodology for identifying public knowledge and eliminating the biases it creates when aggregating information in small group settings. A two stage mechanism consisting of an information market and a coordination game is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kay-Yut Chen , Leslie R. Fine , Bernardo A. Huberman

Consumers of mass media must have a comprehensive, balanced and plural selection of news to get an unbiased perspective; but achieving this goal can be very challenging, laborious and time consuming. News stories development over time, its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-02-06 Ernesto Diaz-Aviles

Recommender systems use data on past user preferences to predict possible future likes and interests. A key challenge is that while the most useful individual recommendations are to be found among diverse niche objects, the most reliably…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2010-03-15 Tao Zhou , Zoltan Kuscsik , Jian-Guo Liu , Matus Medo , Joseph R. Wakeling , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Proper scoring rules elicit truth-telling when making predictions, or otherwise revealing information. However, when multiple predictions are made of the same event, telling the truth is in general no longer optimal, as agents are motivated…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-04 Amir Ban

Recent work has demonstrated the viability of using crowdsourcing as a tool for evaluating the truthfulness of public statements. Under certain conditions such as: (1) having a balanced set of workers with different backgrounds and…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Michael Soprano , Kevin Roitero , David La Barbera , Davide Ceolin , Damiano Spina , Stefano Mizzaro , Gianluca Demartini

Crowd predictions have demonstrated powerful performance in predicting future events. We aim to understand crowd prediction efficacy in ascertaining the veracity of human emotional expressions. We discover that collective discernment can…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Zhenyue Qin , Tom Gedeon , Sabrina Caldwell

We formulate the problem of fake news detection using distributed fact-checkers (agents) with unknown reliability. The stream of news/statements is modeled as an independent and identically distributed binary source (to represent true and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Ashwin Verma , Soheil Mohajer , Behrouz Touri

Federated learning provides a promising paradigm for collecting machine learning models from distributed data sources without compromising users' data privacy. The success of a credible federated learning system builds on the assumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-22 Yang Liu , Jiaheng Wei
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