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We examine receiver-optimal mechanisms for aggregating information divided across many biased senders. Each sender privately observes an unconditionally independent signal about an unknown state, so no sender can verify another's report. A…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 James Best , Daniel Quigley , Maryam Saeedi , Ali Shourideh

Crowdsourcing enables the solicitation of forecasts on a variety of prediction tasks from distributed groups of people. How to aggregate the solicited forecasts, which may vary in quality, into an accurate final prediction remains a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-31 Juntao Wang , Yang Liu , Yiling Chen

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in high-stakes settings where good decisions require forming beliefs over the probability of unknown outcomes. However, it is unclear whether LLMs act as if they hold coherent beliefs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Khurram Yamin , Jingjing Tang , Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Amit Sharma , Eric Horvitz , Bryan Wilder

Misinformation about critical issues such as climate change and vaccine safety is oftentimes amplified on online social and search platforms. The crowdsourcing of content credibility assessment by laypeople has been proposed as one strategy…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-08-24 Md Momen Bhuiyan , Amy X. Zhang , Connie Moon Sehat , Tanushree Mitra

Crowdsensing, also known as participatory sensing, is a method of data collection that involves gathering information from a large number of common people (or individuals), often using mobile devices or other personal technologies. This…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Chattu Bhargavi , Vikash Kumar Singh

Society increasingly relies on machine learning models for automated decision making. Yet, efficiency gains from automation have come paired with concern for algorithmic discrimination that can systematize inequality. Recent work has…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Alejandro Noriega-Campero , Michiel A. Bakker , Bernardo Garcia-Bulle , Alex Pentland

Misinformation is an ever increasing problem that is difficult to solve for the research community and has a negative impact on the society at large. Very recently, the problem has been addressed with a crowdsourcing-based approach to scale…

We analyze the accuracy of collective decision-making in socially connected populations, where agents update binary choices through local interactions on a network. Each agent receives a private signal that is biased -- even marginally --…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

Decades of research suggest that information exchange in groups and organizations can reliably improve judgment accuracy in tasks such as financial forecasting, market research, and medical decision-making. However, we show that improving…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-26 Joshua Becker , Douglas Guilbeault , Ned Smith

Online discussion threads are important means for individual decision-making and for aggregating collective judgments, e.g. the `wisdom of crowds'. Empirical investigations of the wisdom of crowds are currently ambivalent about the role…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-03-15 Robin Engelhardt , Vincent F. Hendricks , Jacob Stærk-Østergaard

Existing works for truth discovery in categorical data usually assume that claimed values are mutually exclusive and only one among them is correct. However, many claimed values are not mutually exclusive even for functional predicates due…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-04-24 Woohwan Jung , Younghoon Kim , Kyuseok Shim

Although peer prediction markets are widely used in crowdsourcing to aggregate information from agents, they often fail to reward the participating agents equitably. Honest agents can be wrongly penalized if randomly paired with dishonest…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Moin Hussain Moti , Dimitris Chatzopoulos , Pan Hui , Sujit Gujar

Hybrid crowd-machine classifiers can achieve superior performance by combining the cost-effectiveness of automatic classification with the accuracy of human judgment. This paper shows how crowd and machines can support each other in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Evgeny Krivosheev , Fabio Casati , Alessandro Bozzon

In the setting where we want to aggregate people's subjective evaluations, plurality vote may be meaningless when a large amount of low-effort people always report "good" regardless of the true quality. "Surprisingly popular" method,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Yuqing Kong

Our aim is to design mechanisms that motivate all agents to reveal their predictions truthfully and promptly. For myopic agents, proper scoring rules induce truthfulness. However, as has been described in the literature, when agents take…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Amir Ban

We consider the problem of the evolution of a code within a structured population of agents. The agents try to maximise their information about their environment by acquiring information from the outputs of other agents in the population. A…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2015-05-18 Andres C. Burgos , Daniel Polani

In recent years, social media companies have grappled with defining and enforcing content moderation policies surrounding political content on their platforms, due in part to concerns about political bias, disinformation, and polarization.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Jacob Thebault-Spieker , Sukrit Venkatagiri , Naomi Mine , Kurt Luther

Crowdsourcing can solve problems that current fully automated systems cannot. Its effectiveness depends on the reliability, accuracy, and speed of the crowd workers that drive it. These objectives are frequently at odds with one another.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2014-08-29 Walter S. Lasecki , Christopher M. Homan , Jeffrey P. Bigham

We propose an agent-based network formation model under uncertainty with the objective of relaxing the common assumption of complete information, calling attention to the role beliefs may play in segregation. We demonstrate that our model…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-05-12 D. Kai Zhang , Alexander Carver

Prior work has provided strong evidence that, within organizational settings, teams that bring a diversity of information and perspectives to a task are more effective than teams that do not. If this form of informational diversity confers…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Hoda Heidari , Solon Barocas , Jon Kleinberg , Karen Levy