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We introduce the study of sequential information elicitation in strategic multi-agent systems. In an information elicitation setup a center attempts to compute the value of a function based on private information (a-k-a secrets) accessible…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Rann Smorodinsky , Moshe Tennenholtz

This article introduces a new method for eliciting prior distributions from experts. The method models an expert decision-making process to infer a prior probability distribution for a rare event $A$. More specifically, assuming there…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-17 Julia R. Falconer , Eibe Frank , Devon L. L. Polaschek , Chaitanya Joshi

We provide a model to investigate the tension between information aggregation and spread of misinformation in large societies (conceptualized as networks of agents communicating with each other). Each individual holds a belief represented…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-06-30 Daron Acemoglu , Asuman Ozdaglar , Ali ParandehGheibi

Motivated by the common strategic activities in crowdsourcing labeling, we study the problem of sequential eliciting information without verification (EIWV) for workers with a heterogeneous and unknown crowd. We propose a reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Jing Dong , Shuai Li , Baoxiang Wang

Social connections are conduits through which individuals communicate, information propagates, and diseases spread. Identifying individuals who are more likely to adopt ideas and spread them is essential in order to develop effective…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Vedran Sekara , Ivan Dotu , Manuel Cebrian , Esteban Moro , Manuel Garcia-Herranz

We develop a sequence of models describing information transmission and decision dynamics for a network of individual agents subject to multiple sources of influence. Our general framework is set in the context of an impending natural…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Danielle S. Bassett , David L. Alderson , Jean M. Carlson

We consider two-alternative elections where voters' preferences depend on a state variable that is not directly observable. Each voter receives a private signal that is correlated to the state variable. Voters may be "contingent" with…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Grant Schoenebeck , Biaoshuai Tao

Aggregating signals from a collection of noisy sources is a fundamental problem in many domains including crowd-sourcing, multi-agent planning, sensor networks, signal processing, voting, ensemble learning, and federated learning. The core…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Ben Abramowitz , Nicholas Mattei

Peer prediction mechanisms incentivize agents to truthfully report their signals even in the absence of verification by comparing agents' reports with those of their peers. In the detail-free multi-task setting, agents respond to multiple…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Grant Schoenebeck , Fang-Yi Yu

When human agents come together to make decisions, it is often the case that one human agent has more information than the other. This phenomenon is called information asymmetry and this distorts the market. Often if one human agent intends…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-10-15 Tshilidzi Marwala , Evan Hurwitz

Knowledge representation (KR) and inference mechanism are most desirable thing to make the system intelligent. System is known to an intelligent if its intelligence is equivalent to the intelligence of human being for a particular domain or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Poonam Tanwar , T. V. Prasad , Dr. Kamlesh Datta

This review article examines the challenge of eliciting truthful information from multiple individuals when such information cannot be verified, a problem known as information elicitation without verification (IEWV). This article reviews…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-09 Niklas Valentin Lehmann

Peer prediction incentive mechanisms for crowdsourcing are generally limited to eliciting samples from categorical distributions. Prior work on extending peer prediction to arbitrary distributions has largely relied on assumptions on the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Adam Richardson , Boi Faltings

We present a hybrid-driven trajectory prediction method based on group emotion. The data driven and model driven methods are combined to make a compromise between the controllability, generality, and efficiency of the method on the basis of…

Graphics · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Chaochao Li , Mingliang Xu

Although the usefulness of belief networks for reasoning under uncertainty is widely accepted, obtaining numerical probabilities that they require is still perceived a major obstacle. Often not enough statistical data is available to allow…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Marek J. Druzdzel , Linda C. van der Gaag

An agent has access to multiple information sources, each of which provides information about a different attribute of an unknown state. Information is acquired continuously -- where the agent chooses both which sources to sample from, and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-27 Annie Liang , Xiaosheng Mu , Vasilis Syrgkanis

A prediction market is a useful means of aggregating information about a future event. To function, the market needs a trusted entity who will verify the true outcome in the end. Motivated by the recent introduction of decentralized…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-16 Rupert Freeman , Sebastien Lahaie , David M. Pennock

Applications extracting data from crowdsourcing platforms must deal with the uncertainty of crowd answers in two different ways: first, by deriving estimates of the correct value from the answers; second, by choosing crowd questions whose…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-07-19 Antoine Amarilli , Yael Amsterdamer , Tova Milo

We study the diffusion of a true and a false message (misinformation) when agents are biased and able to verify messages. As a recipient of a false message who verifies it becomes informed of the truth, a higher prevalence of misinformation…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-25 Luca Paolo Merlino , Nicole Tabasso

We investigate the mechanism design problem faced by a principal who hires \emph{multiple} agents to gather and report costly information. Then, the principal exploits the information to make an informed decision. We model this problem as a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Federico Cacciamani , Matteo Castiglioni , Nicola Gatti
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