Related papers: Reciprocal Maximum Likelihood Degrees of Brownian …
In this contribution we provide initial findings to the problem of modeling fuzzy rating responses in a psychometric modeling context. In particular, we study a probabilistic tree model with the aim of representing the stage-wise mechanisms…
Cubical complexes are metric spaces constructed by gluing together unit cubes in an analogous way to the construction of simplicial complexes. We construct Brownian motion on such spaces, define random walks, and prove that the transition…
We derive integral formulas, involving the Airy function, for moments of the time a two-sided Brownian motion with parabolic drift attains its maximum.
We consider the interacting particle system on the homogeneous tree of degree $(d + 1)$, known as frog model. In this model, active particles perform independent random walks, awakening all sleeping particles they encounter, and dying after…
In a previous paper, the authors proved a conjecture of Lalley and Sellke that the empirical (time-averaged) distribution function of the maximum of branching Brownian motion converges almost surely to a Gumbel distribution. The result is…
The signature of a $d$-dimensional Brownian motion is a sequence of iterated Stratonovich integrals along the Brownian paths, an object taking values in the tensor algebra over $\RR^{d}$. In this note, we derive the exact rate of…
We study the persistence probability for processes with stationary increments. Our results apply to a number of examples: sums of stationary correlated random variables whose scaling limit is fractional Brownian motion, random walks in…
The mixed fractional Vasicek model, which is an extended model of the traditional Vasicek model, has been widely used in modelling volatility, interest rate and exchange rate. Obviously, if some phenomenon are modeled by the mixed…
The conditional expectation and conditional variance of Brownian motion is considered given the argmax, B(t|argmax), as well as those with additional information: B(t|close, argmax), B(t|max, argmax), B(t|close, max, argmax) where the close…
It is known from Bramson (1983) that the maximum of branching Brownian motion at time $t$ is asymptotically around an explicit function $m_t$, which involves a first ballistic order and a logarithmic correction. In this paper, we give an…
We establish universality for the largest singular values of products of random matrices with right unitarily invariant distributions, in a regime where the number of matrix factors and size of the matrices tend to infinity simultaneously.…
We study multivariate Gaussian models that are described by linear conditions on the concentration matrix. We compute the maximum likelihood (ML) degrees of these models. That is, we count the critical points of the likelihood function over…
We study the maximum likelihood degree (ML degree) of toric varieties, known as discrete exponential models in statistics. By introducing scaling coefficients to the monomial parameterization of the toric variety, one can change the ML…
We describe a probabilistic model involving iterated Brownian motion for constructing a random chainable continuum. We show that this random continuum is indecomposable.
A large number of explicit estimators are proposed in this paper for loss rate estimation in a network of the tree topology. All of the estimators are proved to be unbiased and consistent instead of asymptotic unbiased as that obtained in…
We present an approximated maximum likelihood method for the multifractal random walk processes of [E. Bacry et al., Phys. Rev. E 64, 026103 (2001)]. The likelihood is computed using a Laplace approximation and a truncation in the…
We focus on various dynamical invariants associated to toric correspondences, using algebraic geometry or arithmetic. We find a formula for the dynamical degrees, relate the exponential growth of the degree sequences with a strict…
We consider the problem of optimal estimation of the value of a vector parameter $\thetavector=(\theta_0,\ldots,\theta_n)^{\top}$ of the drift term in a fractional Brownian motion represented by the finite sum…
We derive the moments of the first passage time for Brownian motion conditioned by either the maximum value or the area swept out by the motion. These quantities are the natural counterparts to the moments of the maximum value and area of…
Let $M_r$ be the maximum value of an one-dimensional Brownian motion on the (time) interval $[0, r]$. We derive an explicit formula for the distribution of the time required (after $r$) for the Brownian motion to exceed $M_r$.