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We prove a conjecture of Lalley and Sellke [Ann. Probab. 15 (1987)] asserting that the empirical (time-averaged) distribution function of the maximum of branching Brownian motion converges almost surely to a double exponential, or Gumbel,…
Maximum likelihood estimation in statistics leads to the problem of maximizing a product of powers of polynomials. We study the algebraic degree of the critical equations of this optimization problem. This degree is related to the number of…
In recursive linear models, the multivariate normal joint distribution of all variables exhibits a dependence structure induced by a recursive (or acyclic) system of linear structural equations. These linear models have a long tradition and…
We present several models to describe the stochastic evolution of stocks that show some strong resistance at some level and generalize to this situation the evolution based upon geometric Brownian motion. If volatility and drift are related…
In this paper, we consider the drawdown and drawup of the fractional Brownian motion with trend, which corresponds to the logarithm of geometric fractional Brownian motion representing the stock price in financial market. We derive the…
Fractional Brownian motion is a non-Markovian Gaussian process $X_t$, indexed by the Hurst exponent $H$. It generalises standard Brownian motion (corresponding to $H=1/2$). We study the probability distribution of the maximum $m$ of the…
We consider toric maximum likelihood estimation over the field of Puiseux series and study critical points of the likelihood function using tropical methods. This problem translates to finding the intersection points of a tropical affine…
We consider the collective motion of finite-sized, overdamped Brownian particles (e.g., motor proteins) in a periodic potential. Simulations of our model have revealed a number of novel cooperative transport phenomena, including (i) the…
We consider certain noncolliding interacting particle systems driven by Brownian noise. A key example is drifted Brownian motions conditioned not to intersect and related models of eigenvalues of Hermitian random matrices. We establish…
Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a fundamental problem in statistics. Characteristics of the MLE problem for discrete algebraic statistical models are reflected in the geometry of the $\textit{likelihood correspondence}$, a variety…
We derive some maximal inequalities for the bifractional Brownian motion using comparison theorems for Gaussian processes.
In this paper, we investigate the optimal control problem for systems driven by mixed fractional Brownian motion (including a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$ and the standard Brownian motion). By using Malliavin…
We derive a series expansion for the multiparameter fractional Brownian motion. The derived expansion is proven to be rate optimal.
This paper is the first part of our survey on various results about the distribution of exponential type Brownian functionals defined as an integral over time of geometric Brownian motion. Several related topics are also mentioned.
We study the height of the maximal particle at time $t$ of a one dimensional branching Brownian motion with a space-dependent branching rate. The branching rate is set to zero in finitely many intervals (obstacles) of order $t$. We obtain…
We study the correlations between the maxima $m$ and $M$ of a Brownian motion (BM) on the time intervals $[0,t_1]$ and $[0,t_2]$, with $t_2>t_1$. We determine exact forms of the distribution functions $P(m,M)$ and $P(G = M - m)$, and…
Brownian motion in one or more dimensions is extensively used as a stochastic process to model natural and engineering signals, as well as financial data. Most works dealing with multidimensional Brownian motion consider the different…
We calculate analytically the probability density $P(t_m)$ of the time $t_m$ at which a continuous-time Brownian motion (with and without drift) attains its maximum before passing through the origin for the first time. We also compute the…
We consider a probability distribution on the set of Boolean functions in n variables which is induced by random Boolean expressions. Such an expression is a random rooted plane tree where the internal vertices are labelled with connectives…
The Rabin tree theorem yields an algorithm to solve the satisfiability problem for monadic second-order logic over infinite trees. Here we solve the probabilistic variant of this problem. Namely, we show how to compute the probability that…