Related papers: Reciprocal Maximum Likelihood Degrees of Brownian …
A Brownian motion tree (BMT) model is a Gaussian model whose associated set of covariance matrices is linearly constrained according to common ancestry in a phylogenetic tree. We study the complexity of inferring the maximum likelihood (ML)…
We discuss maximum likelihood estimation of parameters for models governed by a stochastic differential equation driven by a mixed fractional Brownian motion with random effects.
Felsenstein's classical model for Gaussian distributions on a phylogenetic tree is shown to be a toric variety in the space of concentration matrices. We present an exact semialgebraic characterization of this model, and we demonstrate how…
We derive P(M,t_m), the joint probability density of the maximum M and the time t_m at which this maximum is achieved for a class of constrained Brownian motions. In particular, we provide explicit results for excursions, meanders and…
We study the maximum of a Brownian motion with a parabolic drift; this is a random variable that often occurs as a limit of the maximum of discrete processes whose expectations have a maximum at an interior point. We give series expansions…
Consider all the possible ways of coupling together two Brownian motions with the same starting position but with different drifts onto the same probability space. It is known that there exist couplings which make these processes agree for…
Motivated by evaluating the limiting distribution of randomly biased random walks on trees, we compute the exact value of a negative moment of the maximal drawdown of the standard Brownian meander.
We derive a simple integral representation for the distribution of the maximum of Brownian motion minus a parabola, which can be used for computing the density and moments of the distribution, both for one-sided and two-sided Brownian…
We investigate the limiting distribution of geometric Brownian motion conditional on its running maximum taking large values. We show that the conditional distribution of the geometric Brownian motion converges after a suitable…
We study the problem of maximum likelihood estimation given one data sample ($n=1$) over Brownian Motion Tree Models (BMTMs), a class of Gaussian models on trees. BMTMs are often used as a null model in phylogenetics, where the one-sample…
We describe a method to extract force and diffusion parameters from single trajectories of Brownian particles based on the principle of maximum likelihood. The analysis is well-suited for out-of-equilibrium trajectories, even when a limited…
The maximum likelihood degree of a statistical model refers to the number of solutions, where the derivative of the log-likelihood function is zero, over the complex field. This paper examines the maximum likelihood degree of the parameter…
We analyse a maximum-likelihood approach for combining phylogenetic trees into a larger `supertree'. This is based on a simple exponential model of phylogenetic error, which ensures that ML supertrees have a simple combinatorial description…
We settle a conjecture by Coons and Sullivant stating that the maximum likelihood (ML) degree of a facial submodel of a toric model is at most the ML degree of the model itself. We discuss the impact on the ML degree from observing zeros in…
We construct the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the unknown drift parameter $\theta\in \mathbb{R}$ in the linear model $X_t=\theta t+\sigma B^{H_1}(t)+B^{H_2}(t),\;t\in[0,T],$ where $B^{H_1}$ and $B^{H_2}$ are two independent…
We consider a Brownian motion with linear drift that splits at fixed time points into a fixed number of branches, which may depend on the branching point. For this process, which we shall refer to as the Brownian decision tree, we…
The main objective of this paper consists in creating a new class of copulae from various joint distributions occurring in connection with certain Brownian motion processes. We focus our attention on the distributions of univariate Brownian…
We investigate the asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of the drift parameter for fractional vasicek model driven by a sub-fractional Brownian motion.
The real trees form a class of metric spaces that extends the class of trees with edge lengths by allowing behavior such as infinite total edge length and vertices with infinite branching degree. We use Dirichlet form methods to construct…
In this paper, we study branching Brownian motion with absorption, in which particles undergo Brownian motions and are killed upon hitting the absorption barrier. We prove that the empirical distribution function of the maximum of this…