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We obtain a Berry-Esseen type bound for the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter for fractional Ornstein-uhlenbeck type process driven by sub-fractional Brownian motion.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-21 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

Maximum likelihood degree of a projective variety is the number of critical points of a general likelihood function. In this note, we compute the Maximum likelihood degree of Fermat hypersurfaces. We give a formula of the Maximum likelihood…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Botong Wang

Neural stochastic differential equation model with a Brownian motion term can capture epistemic uncertainty of deep neural network from the perspective of a dynamical system. The goal of this paper is to improve the convergence rate of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Daili Sheng , Minghui Song , Xiang Peng , Xuanqi Dong

We give a proof of a result on the growth of the number of particles along chosen paths in a branching Brownian motion. The work follows the approach of classical large deviations results, in which paths in $C[0,1]$ are rescaled onto…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-22 Simon Harris , Matthew Roberts

Multivariate extreme value distributions are a common choice for modelling multivariate extremes. In high dimensions, however, the construction of flexible and parsimonious models is challenging. We propose to combine bivariate max-stable…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-25 Shuang Hu , Zuoxiang Peng , Johan Segers

We define a dynamic model of random networks, where new vertices are connected to old ones with a probability proportional to a sublinear function of their degree. We first give a strong limit law for the empirical degree distribution, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-31 Steffen Dereich , Peter Morters

We present probabilistic interpretations of solutions to semi-linear parabolic equations with polynomial nonlinearities in terms of the voting models on the genealogical trees of branching Brownian motion (BBM). These extend the connection…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-09-09 Jing An , Christopher Henderson , Lenya Ryzhik

Let $B = (B_t)_{t \in {\bf R}}$ be a symmetric Brownian motion, i.e. $(B_t)_{t \in {\bf R}_+}$ and $(B_{-t})_{t \in {\bf R}_+}$ are independent Brownian motions starting at $0$. Given $a \ge b>0$, we describe the law of the random set…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-03 Christophe Leuridan

We consider a Gibbs distribution over all spanning trees of an undirected, edge weighted finite graph, where, up to normalization, the probability of each tree is given by the product of its edge weights. Defining the weighted degree of a…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Enrique Fita Sanmartín , Christoph Schnörr , Fred A. Hamprecht

Tropical geometry with the max-plus algebra has been applied to statistical learning models over tree spaces because geometry with the tropical metric over tree spaces has some nice properties such as convexity in terms of the tropical…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Ruriko Yoshida , Shelby Cox

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We discuss chains of interacting Brownian motions. Their time reversal invariance is broken because of asymmetry in the interaction strength between left and right neighbor. In the limit of a very steep and short range potential one arrives…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-11-13 Tomohiro Sasamoto , Herbert Spohn

We derive several explicit distributions of functionals of Brownian motion indexed by the Brownian tree. In particular, we give a direct proof of a result of Bousquet-M\'elou and Janson identifying the distribution of the density at 0 of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-19 Jean-François Le Gall , Armand Riera

We obtain assumption-free, non-asymptotic, uniform bounds on the product of the height and the width of uniformly random trees with a given degree sequence, conditioned Bienaym\'e trees and simply generated trees. We show that for a tree of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Serte Donderwinkel , Robin Khanfir

We study the radius $R_T$ of a self-repellent fractional Brownian motion $\left\{B^H_t\right\}_{0\le t\le T}$ taking values in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Our sharpest result is for $d=1$, where we find that with high probability, \begin{equation*} R_T…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-30 Le Chen , Sefika Kuzgun , Carl Mueller , Panqiu Xia

We consider the maximum process of a random walk with additive independent noise in form of $\max_{i=1,\dots,n}(S_i+Y_i)$. The random walk may have dependent increments, but its sample path is assumed to converge weakly to a fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-12 Yizao Wang

CRISPR technology has enabled large-scale cell lineage tracing for complex multicellular organisms by mutating synthetic genomic barcodes during organismal development. However, these sophisticated biological tools currently use ad-hoc and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-02 Jean Feng , William S DeWitt , Aaron McKenna , Noah Simon , Amy Willis , Frederick A Matsen

Learning the parameters of graphical models using the maximum likelihood estimation is generally hard which requires an approximation. Maximum composite likelihood estimations are statistical approximations of the maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-25 Muneki Yasuda , Shun Kataoka , Yuji Waizumi , Kazuyuki Tanaka

We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the price…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-14 Damir Filipović , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

We investigate extremal statistical properties such as the maximal and the minimal heights of randomly generated binary trees. By analyzing the master evolution equations we show that the cumulative distribution of extremal heights…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky , Satya N. Majumdar
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