English

Upper moderate deviation probabilities for the maximum of branching Brownian motion

Probability 2025-11-11 v2

Abstract

It is known from Bramson (1983) that the maximum of branching Brownian motion at time tt is asymptotically around an explicit function mtm_t, which involves a first ballistic order and a logarithmic correction. In this paper, we give an asymptotic equivalent for its upper moderate deviation probability, that is, the probability that the maximum achieves mt+xtm_t + x_t at time tt, where 1xtt1 \ll x_t \ll t. We adopt a probabilistic approach that employs a modified version of the second moment method. As a byproduct, we obtain information about the typical behavior of particles contributing to such deviations.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2505.11363,
  title  = {Upper moderate deviation probabilities for the maximum of branching Brownian motion},
  author = {Louis Chataignier},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.11363},
  year   = {2025}
}

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13 pages, 0 figure