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The log-det distance between two aligned DNA sequences was introduced as a tool for statistically consistent inference of a gene tree under simple non-mixture models of sequence evolution. Here we prove that the log-det distance, coupled…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-14 Elizabeth S. Allman , Colby Long , John A. Rhodes

Besides serving as prediction models, classification trees are useful for finding important predictor variables and identifying interesting subgroups in the data. These functions can be compromised by weak split selection algorithms that…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-03 Wei-Yin Loh

Phylogenetics uses alignments of molecular sequence data to learn about evolutionary trees relating species. Along branches, sequence evolution is modelled using a continuous-time Markov process characterised by an instantaneous rate…

The main goal of this paper is to provide an algorithm for the random sampling of Butcher trees and the probabilistic numerical solution of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). This approach complements and simplifies a recent approach…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Qiao Huang , Nicolas Privault

We study the relationship between model complexity and out-of-sample performance in the context of mean-variance portfolio optimization. Representing model complexity by the number of assets, we find that the performance of low-dimensional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Yonghe Lu , Yanrong Yang , Terry Zhang

We introduce new methods for phylogenetic tree quartet construction by using machine learning to optimize the power of phylogenetic invariants. Phylogenetic invariants are polynomials in the joint probabilities which vanish under a model of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Nicholas Eriksson , Yuan Yao

Motivation: While the majority of gene histories found in a clade of organisms are expected to be generated by a common process (e.g. the coalescent process), it is well-known that numerous other coexisting processes (e.g. horizontal gene…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-23 Grady Weyenberg , Peter Huggins , Christopher Schardl , Daniel K Howe , Ruriko Yoshida

The reconstruction of phylogenies from DNA or protein sequences is a major task of computational evolutionary biology. Common phenomena, notably variations in mutation rates across genomes and incongruences between gene lineage histories,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-30 Elchanan Mossel , Sebastien Roch

For a pair consisting of a gene tree and a species tree, the ancestral configurations at an internal node of the species tree are the distinct sets of gene lineages that can be present at that node. Ancestral configurations appear in…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Filippo Disanto , Michael Fuchs , Ariel R. Paningbatan , Noah A. Rosenberg

Eliciting preferences from human judgements is inherently imprecise, yet most decision analysis methods force a single priority vector from pairwise comparisons, discarding the information embedded in inconsistencies. We instead leverage…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-27 Salvatore Greco , Sajid Siraj , Michele Lundy

Many applications in genetic analyses utilize sampling distributions, which describe the probability of observing a sample of DNA sequences randomly drawn from a population. In the one-locus case with special models of mutation such as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Anand Bhaskar , John A. Kamm , Yun S. Song

We analyse a maximum-likelihood approach for combining phylogenetic trees into a larger `supertree'. This is based on a simple exponential model of phylogenetic error, which ensures that ML supertrees have a simple combinatorial description…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-08-17 Mike Steel , Allen Rodrigo

Motivated as a null model for comparison with data, we study the following model for a phylogenetic tree on $n$ extant species. The origin of the clade is a random time in the past, whose (improper) distribution is uniform on $(0,\infty)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David J. Aldous , Lea Popovic

We propose a procedure to build a decision tree which approximates the performance of complex machine learning models. This single approximation tree can be used to interpret and simplify the predicting pattern of random forests (RFs) and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-31 Yichen Zhou , Giles Hooker

Random survival forest and survival trees are popular models in statistics and machine learning. However, there is a lack of general understanding regarding consistency, splitting rules and influence of the censoring mechanism. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Yifan Cui , Ruoqing Zhu , Mai Zhou , Michael Kosorok

Differential evolution possesses a multitude of various strategies for generating new trial solutions. Unfortunately, the best strategy is not known in advance. Moreover, this strategy usually depends on the problem to be solved. This paper…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-07-04 Iztok Fister , Iztok Fister , Janez Brest

Stochastic branching processes are a classical model for describing random trees, which have applications in numerous fields including biology, physics, and natural language processing. In particular, they have recently been proposed to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-06-07 Taolue Chen , Klaus Dräger , Stefan Kiefer

We study the effectiveness of non-uniform randomized feature selection in decision tree classification. We experimentally evaluate two feature selection methodologies, based on information extracted from the provided dataset: $(i)$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-25 Anastasios Kyrillidis , Anastasios Zouzias

A probabilistic reconstruction of genealogies in a polyploid population (from 2x to 4x) is investigated, by considering genetic data analyzed as the probability of allele presence in a given genotype. Based on the likelihood of all possible…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-29 Frédéric Proïa , Fabien Panloup , Chiraz Trabelsi , Jérémy Clotault

Tree ensembles, such as random forests and boosted trees, are renowned for their high prediction performance. However, their interpretability is critically limited due to the enormous complexity. In this study, we present a method to make a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-01 Satoshi Hara , Kohei Hayashi