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In this paper, we provide finite sample results to assess the consistency of Generalized Pareto regression trees, as tools to perform extreme value regression. The results that we provide are obtained from concentration inequalities, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Sébastien Farkas , Antoine Heranval , Olivier Lopez , Maud Thomas

Generative models derived from large protein sequence alignments define complex fitness landscapes, but their utility for accurately modeling non-equilibrium evolutionary dynamics remains unclear. In this work, we perform a rigorous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Leonardo Di Bari , Thierry Mora , Andrea Pagnani , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Francesco Zamponi , Saverio Rossi

We study the stochastic evolution of four species in cyclic competition in a well mixed environment. In systems composed of a finite number $N$ of particles these simple interaction rules result in a rich variety of extinction scenarios,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-09 C. H. Durney , S. O. Case , M. Pleimling , R. K. P. Zia

Decision trees are powerful machine learning algorithms, widely used in fields such as economics and medicine for their simplicity and interpretability. However, decision trees such as CART are prone to overfitting, especially when grown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Likun Zhang , Wei Ma

We consider inference about the history of a sample of DNA sequences, conditional upon the haplotype counts and the number of segregating sites observed at the present time. After deriving some theoretical results in the coalescent setting,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-01 Robert C. Griffiths , Simon Tavaré

In this paper we present a technique for using the bootstrap to estimate the operating characteristics and their variability for certain types of ensemble methods. Bootstrapping a model can require a huge amount of work if the training data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-26 Anthony Gamst , Jay-Calvin Reyes , Alden Walker

Phylogenetic trees (i.e. evolutionary trees, additive trees or X-trees) play a key role in the processes of modeling and representing species evolution. Genome evolution of a given group of species is usually modeled by a species…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-03 Vladimir Makarenkov , Gayane S. Barseghyan , Nadia Tahiri

Species sampling processes have long served as the fundamental framework for modeling random discrete distributions and exchangeable sequences. However, data arising from distinct but related sources require a broader notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Beatrice Franzolini , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Giovanni Rebaudo

Topologically constrained genome-like polymers often double-fold into tree-like configurations, which can be modelled on the level of folded (ring) polymers or on the level of the underlying random trees. For both descriptions, we have…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-05-19 Pieter H. W. van der Hoek , Angelo Rosa , Elham Ghobadpour , Ralf Everaers

With the advance of experimental techniques such as time-lapse fluorescence microscopy, the availability of single-cell trajectory data has vastly increased, and so has the demand for computational methods suitable for parameter inference…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-07-06 Irena Kuzmanovska , Andreas Milias-Argeitis , Christoph Zechner , Mustafa Khammash

Decision trees are important both as interpretable models amenable to high-stakes decision-making, and as building blocks of ensemble methods such as random forests and gradient boosting. Their statistical properties, however, are not well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-20 Yan Shuo Tan , Abhineet Agarwal , Bin Yu

Supertree construction is the process by which a set of phylogenetic trees, each on a subset of the overall set X of species, is combined into a tree on the full set S. The traditional use of supertree methods is the assembly of a large…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-10 Tandy Warnow

We present an algorithm for learning decision trees using stochastic gradient information as the source of supervision. In contrast to previous approaches to gradient-based tree learning, our method operates in the incremental learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-25 Henry Gouk , Bernhard Pfahringer , Eibe Frank

Computational inference of dated evolutionary histories relies upon various hypotheses about RNA, DNA, and protein sequence mutation rates. Using mutation rates to infer these dated histories is referred to as molecular clock assumption.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-11 Lena Collienne , Kieran Elmes , Mareike Fischer , David Bryant , Alex Gavryushkin

Phylogenetic trees describe the evolutionary history of a group of present-day species from a common ancestor. These trees are typically reconstructed from aligned DNA sequence data. In this paper we analytically address the following…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-14 Mike Steel , Laszlo Szekely , Elchanan Mossel

One of the goals of phylogenetic research is to find the species tree describing the evolutionary history of a set of species. But the trees derived from geneti data with the help of tree inference methods are gene trees that need not…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-28 Mareike Fischer , Martin Kreidl

A rigorous methodology is proposed to study cell division data consisting in several observed genealogical trees of possibly different shapes. The procedure takes into account missing observations, data from different trees, as well as the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-15 Benoîte de Saporta , Anne Gégout Petit , Laurence Marsalle

Repetitions within a given genealogical tree provides some information about the degree of consanguineity of a population. They can be analyzed with techniques usually employed in statistical physics when dealing with fixed point…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Paolo De Los Rios , Oscar Pla

We consider the reconstruction of a phylogeny from multiple genes under the multispecies coalescent. We establish a connection with the sparse signal detection problem, where one seeks to distinguish between a distribution and a mixture of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-24 Elchanan Mossel , Sebastien Roch

We propose and study a multi-scale approach to vector quantization. We develop an algorithm, dubbed reconstruction trees, inspired by decision trees. Here the objective is parsimonious reconstruction of unsupervised data, rather than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Enrico Cecini , Ernesto De Vito , Lorenzo Rosasco