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In this paper, we consider the knot matching problem arising in computational forestry. The knot matching problem is an important problem that needs to be solved to advance the state of the art in automatic strength prediction of lumber. We…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-28 Seong-Hwan Jun , Samuel W. K. Wong , James V. Zidek , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté

Bipartition cover probabilities quantify whether a collection of gene trees contains every bipartition of the underlying species tree, a condition that underlies finite-sample guarantees for summary methods such as ASTRAL. We study this…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Zachary McNulty

We study a problem of model selection for data produced by two different context tree sources. Motivated by linguistic questions, we consider the case where the probabilistic context trees corresponding to the two sources are finite and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-12 Antonio Galves , Aurélien Garivier , Elisabeth Gassiat

In the past several years a wide range of methods for the construction of regression trees and other estimators based on the recursive partitioning of samples have appeared in the statistics literature. Many applications involve data…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-07 Daniell Toth , John Eltinge

For a model of molecular evolution to be useful for phylogenetic inference, the topology of evolutionary trees must be identifiable. That is, from a joint distribution the model predicts, it must be possible to recover the tree parameter.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-09 Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

Diffusion processes on trees are commonly used in evolutionary biology to model the joint distribution of continuous traits, such as body mass, across species. Estimating the parameters of such processes from tip values presents challenges…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-27 Cécile Ané , Lam Si Tung Ho , Sebastien Roch

Many biological studies involve inferring the evolutionary history of a sample of individuals from a large population and interpreting the reconstructed tree. Such an ascertained tree typically represents only a small part of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-13 Michael Celentano , William S. DeWitt , Sebastian Prillo , Yun S. Song

We introduce a general diploid population model with self-fertilization and possible overlapping generations, and study the genealogy of a sample of $n$ genes as the population size $N$ tends to infinity. Unlike traditional approach in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Louis Wai-Tong Fan , Maximillian Newman , John Wakeley

Decision tree learning is increasingly being used for pointwise inference. Important applications include causal heterogenous treatment effects and dynamic policy decisions, as well as conditional quantile regression and design of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

Construction of phylogenetic trees and networks for extant species from their characters represents one of the key problems in phylogenomics. While solution to this problem is not always uniquely defined and there exist multiple methods for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-10 Nikita Alexeev , Max A. Alekseyev

We introduce a model for the evolution of species triggered by generation of novel features and exhaustive combination with other available traits. Under the assumption that innovations are rare, we obtain a bursty branching process of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-29 Stephanie Keller-Schmidt , Konstantin Klemm

We propose a model for evolution aiming to reproduce statistical features of fossil data, in particular the distributions of extinction events, the distribution of species per genus and the distribution of lifetimes, all of which are known…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-06-06 Peter Klimek , Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel

The time process of transport on randomly evolving trees is investigated. By introducing the notions of living and dead nodes a model of random tree evolution is constructed which describes the spreading in time of objects corresponding to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Pal

We study the distribution of the number of leaves of the subtree chosen uniformly at random among all the subtrees of the critical branching process tree at extinction.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Boris Pittel

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Arnaud Joly

Phylogenetic inference, the task of reconstructing how related sequences evolved from common ancestors, is a central objective in evolutionary genomics. The current state-of-the-art methods exploit probabilistic models of sequence evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-19 Luc Blassel , Noémie Sauvage , Pierre Barrat-Charlaix , Bastien Boussau , Nicolas Lartillot , Laurent Jacob

In a series of recent works it has been shown that a class of simple models of evolving populations under selection leads to genealogical trees whose statistics are given by the Bolthausen-Sznitman coalescent rather than by the well known…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-28 Éric Brunet , Bernard Derrida

We propose methods for density estimation and data synthesis using a novel form of unsupervised random forests. Inspired by generative adversarial networks, we implement a recursive procedure in which trees gradually learn structural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-14 David S. Watson , Kristin Blesch , Jan Kapar , Marvin N. Wright

The reliability of a phylogenetic inference method from genomic sequence data is ensured by its statistical consistency. Bayesian inference methods produce a sample of phylogenetic trees from the posterior distribution given sequence data.…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2016-06-10 Alex Gavryushkin , Alexei J. Drummond

The inference of phylogenetic networks, which model complex evolutionary processes including hybridization and gene flow, remains a central challenge in evolutionary biology. Until now, statistically consistent inference methods have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-14 Niels Holtgrefe , Elizabeth S. Allman , Hector Baños , Leo van Iersel , Vincent Moulton , John A. Rhodes , Kristina Wicke