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Assume that claims in a portfolio of insurance contracts are described by independent and identically distributed random variables with regularly varying tails and occur according to a near mixed Poisson process. We provide a collection of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Christian Robert , Jef Teugels

We study the hitting times of Markov processes to target set $G$, starting from a reference configuration $x_0$ or its basin of attraction. The configuration $x_0$ can correspond to the bottom of a (meta)stable well, while the target $G$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-11 R. Fernandez , F. Manzo , F. R. Nardi , E. Scoppola

In this paper, we study a class of self-exciting point processes. The intensity of the point process has a nonlinear dependence on the past history and time. When a new jump occurs, the intensity increases and we expect more jumps to come.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Tzu-Wei Yang , Lingjiong Zhu

We examine the asymptotic expansion of the Touchard polynomials $T_n(z)$ (also known as the exponential polynomials) for large $n$ and complex values of the variable $z$. In our treatment $|z|$ may be finite or allowed to be large like…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-06-28 R B Paris

For a continuous-time random walk $X=\{X_t,t\ge 0\}$ (in general non-Markov), we study the asymptotic behavior, as $t\rightarrow \infty$, of the normalized additive functional $c_t\int_0^{t} f(X_s)ds$, $t\ge 0$. Similarly to the Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Yuri Kondratiev , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behaviors of the survival probability and maximal displacement of a subcritical branching killed L\'{e}vy process $X$ in $\mathbb{R}$. Let $\zeta$ denote the extinction time, $M_t$ be the maximal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song , Yaping Zhu

Recently, a marked Poisson process (MPP) model for life catastrophe risk was proposed in [6]. We provide a justification and further support for the model by considering more general Poisson point processes in the context of extreme value…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-01 Matias Leppisaari

We investigate the concept of an asymptotic e-process, which is a doubly-indexed stochastic process $(E_{m,n})_{m,n\in\mathbb{N}}$ that possesses, asymptotically for an approximation index $m\to\infty$, the properties of an e-process along…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Pierre-François Massiani , Sebastian Schulze , Mattes Mollenhauer

Consider a branching Markov process, $X = (X(t), t \ge 0)$, with non-local branching mechanism. Studying the asymptotic behaviour of the moments of X has recently received attention in the literature [6, 7] due to the importance of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Christopher B. C. Dean , Emma Horton

In this article, we consider additive functionals $\zeta_t = \int_0^t f(X_s)\mathrm{d} s$ of a c\`adl\`ag Markov process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ on $\mathbb{R}$. Under some general conditions on the process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ and on the function…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Quentin Berger , Loïc Béthencourt , Camille Tardif

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

Let $\xi=(\xi_t, t\ge 0)$ be a real-valued L\'evy process and define its associated exponential functional as follows \[ I_t(\xi):=\int_0^t \exp\{-\xi_s\}{\rm d} s, \qquad t\ge 0. \] Motivated by important applications to stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-27 Sandra Palau , Juan Carlos Pardo , Charline Smadi

We study distributions $F$ on $[0,\infty)$ such that for some $T\le\infty$, $F^{*2}(x,x+T]\sim 2 F(x,x+T]$. The case $T=\infty$ corresponds to $F$ being subexponential, and our analysis shows that the properties for $T<\infty$ are, in fact,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 S. Asmussen , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

In this paper, we employ Markov process theory to prove asymptotic results for a class of stochastic processes which arise as solutions of a stochastic evolution inclusion and are given by the representation formula \begin{align*}…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Alexander Nerlich

We derive an asymptotic theory of nonparametric estimation for a time series regression model $Z_t=f(X_t)+W_t$, where \ensuremath\{X_t\} and \ensuremath\{Z_t\} are observed nonstationary processes and $\{W_t\}$ is an unobserved stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Hans Arnfinn Karlsen , Terje Myklebust , Dag Tjøstheim

We study the asymptotic behaviour of Markov chains $(X_n,\eta_n)$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+ \times S$, where $\mathbb{Z}_+$ is the non-negative integers and $S$ is a finite set. Neither coordinate is assumed to be Markov. We assume a moments bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Nicholas Georgiou , Andrew R. Wade

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

Let $\textbf{Z}(t)=(Z_1(t) ,\ldots, Z_d(t))^\top , t \in \mathbb{R}$ where $Z_i(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$, $i=1,...,d$ are mutually independent centered Gaussian processes with continuous sample paths a.s. and stationary increments. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Krzysztof Bisewski , Krzysztof Debicki , Nikolai Kriukov

We analyze the asymptotics of crossing a high piecewise linear barriers by a renewal compound process with the subexponential jumps. The study is motivated by ruin probabilities of two insurance companies (or two branches of the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn Pistorius

As well known, for a supercritical Galton-Watson process $Z_n$ whose offspring distribution has mean $m>1$, the ratio $W_n:=Z_n/m^n$ has a.s. limit, say $W$. We study tail behaviour of the distributions of $W_n$ and $W$ in the case where…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel