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In this paper, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the product tail probability $ \mathbb{P}(\xi_1\cdots\xi_N \geqslant n), $ where $\{\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_N\}$ is a finite collection of independent Poisson random variables with positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Džiugas Chvoinikov , Jonas Šiaulys

This paper investigates the second order asymptotic expansion for tail probabilities of discounted aggregate claims in continuous-time renewal risk models with constant interest force. Concretely, two types of continuous-time renewal risk…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-07 Bingzhen Genga , Shijie Wanga , Yang Yang

In this paper, we study mixed power-exponential moment functionals of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. Conditions under which the moment functionals of interest can be expanded in asymptotic power series with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

Let $\{X_1, X_2, ... \}$ be a sequence of dependent heavy-tailed random variables with distributions $F_1, F_2,...$ on $(-\infty,\infty)$, and let $\tau$ be a nonnegative integer-valued random variable independent of the sequence $\{X_k, k…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Kam Chuen Yuen , Chuancun Yin

Let $X(t)=(X_1(t), \dots, X_n(t)), t\in \mathcal{T}\subset \mathbb{R} $ be a centered vector-valued Gaussian process with independent components and continuous trajectories, and $h(t)=(h_1(t),\dots, h_n(t)), t\in \mathcal{T} $ be a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Long Bai , Krzysztof Debicki , Peng Liu

Let $\{X(t)= (X_1(t),X_2(t))^T,\ t \in \mathbb{R}^N\}$ be an $\mathbb{R}^2$-valued continuous locally stationary Gaussian random field with $\mathbb{E}[X(t)]=\mathbf{0}$. For any compact sets $A_1, A_2 \subset \mathbb{R}^N$, precise…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-13 Yuzhen Zhou , Yimin Xiao

We consider the sums $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$ of independent identically distributed random variables. We do not assume that the $\xi$'s have a finite mean. Under subexponential type conditions on distribution of the summands, we find the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 D. Denisov , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

This paper studies the tail probability of weighted sums of the form $\sum_{i=1}^n c_i X_i$, where random variables $X_i$'s are either independent or pairwise quasi-asymptotical independent with heavy tails. Using $h$-insensitive function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Chenhua Zhang

We investigate temporal behavior of probability density functions (pdfs) of paradigmatic jump-type and continuous processes that, under confining regimes, share common heavy-tailed asymptotic (target) pdfs. Namely, we have shown that under…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Piotr Garbaczewski , Vladimir Stephanovich , Dariusz Kȩdzierski

Consider a Lamperti-Kiu Markov additive process $(J_t,\xi_t:t\geq0)$ on $\{+,-\}\times\mathbb{R}\cup\infty$ where $J$ is the modulating Markov chain component. First, we study the finiteness of the exponential functional and then consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Larbi Alili , David Woodford

Consider a heavy-tailed branching process (denoted by $Z_{n}$) in random environments, under the condition which infers that $\mathbb{E}\log m(\xi_{0})=\infty$. We show that (1) there exists no proper $c_{n}$ such that $\{Z_{n}/c_{n}\}$ has…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Wenming Hong , Xiaoyue Zhang

Studying the subexponential convergence towards equilibrium of a strong Markov process, we exhibit an intermediate Lyapunov condition equivalent to the control of some moment of a hitting time. This provides a link, similar (although more…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Armand Bernou

Distributional identities for a L\'evy process $X_t$, its quadratic variation process $V_t$ and its maximal jump processes, are derived, and used to make "small time" (as $t\downarrow0$) asymptotic comparisons between them. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Boris Buchmann , Yuguang Fan , Ross A. Maller

In this paper, we establish the asymptotic behavior of {\it supercritical} nearly unstable Hawkes processes with a power law kernel. We find that, the Hawkes process in our context admits a similar equation to that in \cite{MR3563196} for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Liping Xu , An Zhang

This paper investigates asymptotic estimates for the entrance probability of the discounted aggregate claim vector from a multivariate renewal risk model into some rare set. We provide asymptotic results for the entrance probability on both…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Zhangting Chen , Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We consider a family of multivariate distributions with heavy-tailed margins and the type I elliptical dependence structure. This class of risks is common in finance, insurance, environmental and biostatistic applications. We obtain the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-01 Kai Wang , Chengxiu Ling

This paper studies the joint tail asymptotics of extrema of the multi-dimensional Gaussian process over random intervals defined as $$ P(u):=\mathbb{P}\left\{\cap_{i=1}^n \left(\sup_{t\in[0,\mathcal{T}_i]} ( X_{i}(t) +c_i t )>a_i u…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Lanpeng Ji , Xiaofan Peng

Let $X_i = {X_i(t), t \in T}$ be i.i.d. copies of a centered Gaussian process $X = {X(t), t \in T}$ with values in $\mathbb{R}^d$ defined on a separable metric space $T.$ It is supposed that $X$ is bounded. We consider the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Yu. Davydov

In this paper, we obtain the finite-horizon and infinite-horizon ruin probability asymptotics for risk processes with claims of subexponential tails for non-stationary arrival processes that satisfy a large deviation principle. As a result,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper a class of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by compound Poisson processes is considered. The jumps arrive with exponential waiting times and are allowed to be two-sided. The jumps are assumed to form an iid sequence with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-01 Anders Rønn-Nielsen