Asymptotic e-processes
Abstract
We investigate the concept of an asymptotic e-process, which is a doubly-indexed stochastic process that possesses, asymptotically for an approximation index , the properties of an e-process along a monitoring time index . This constitutes the first in-depth study of this recently introduced concept, which is relevant in asymptotic sequential anytime-valid inference. Our theory is motivated by practical applications in sequential hypothesis testing, in which e-variables and e-processes can only be constructed approximately from observations due to model misspecification or estimation errors. Technically, asymptotic e-processes satisfy an asymptotic version of Ville's inequality, which bounds excursion probabilities of uniformly over up to a monitoring time horizon . We show the necessity of allowing for finite values of , recovering truly anytime-valid guarantees asymptotically if . We derive various properties of asymptotic e-processes, and study their connections to asymptotic supermartingales. We also investigate general methods for their construction such as calibration, the cumulative product of asymptotic e-variables, and the monitoring an of an e-process that depends on an estimated parameter. The latter construction constitutes a generalization of a recent approach within the context of asymptotic post-hoc inference.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2604.19353,
title = {Asymptotic e-processes},
author = {Pierre-François Massiani and Sebastian Schulze and Mattes Mollenhauer},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2604.19353},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
49 pages, 3 figures. Under review, may be subject to changes