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We consider a discrete time semi-Markov process where the characteristics defining the process depend on a small perturbation parameter. It is assumed that the state space consists of one finite communicating class of states and, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Mikael Petersson

The asymptotic behavior, as $T\to\infty$, of some functionals of the form $I_T(t)=F_T(\xi_T(t))+\int_0^tg_T(\xi_T(s))\,dW_T(s)$, $t\ge0$ is studied. Here $\xi_T(t)$ is the solution to the time-inhomogeneous It\^{o} stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Grigorij Kulinich , Svitlana Kushnirenko

The implied volatility skew has received relatively little attention in the literature on short-term asymptotics for financial models with jumps, despite its importance in model selection and calibration. We rectify this by providing…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-15 José E. Figueroa-López , Sveinn Ólafsson

The asymptotic expansion of the Touchard polynomials $T_n(z)$ (also known as the exponential polynomials) for large $n$ and complex values of the variable $z$, where $|z|$ may be finite or allowed to be large like $O(n)$, has been recently…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-06-29 R B Paris

We provide some asymptotic theory for the largest eigenvalues of a sample covariance matrix of a p-dimensional time series where the dimension p = p_n converges to infinity when the sample size n increases. We give a short overview of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Richard Davis , Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch , Xiaolei Xie

For a L\'evy process $X$ on a finite time interval consider the probability that it exceeds some fixed threshold $x>0$ while staying below $x$ at the points of a regular grid. We establish exact asymptotic behavior of this probability as…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Krzysztof Bisewski , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

We investigate the asymptotic behavior, as t goes to infinity, for a semilinear hyperbolic equation with asymptotically smal dissipation and convex potential. We prove that if the damping term behaves like K/t^\alpha for t large enough, k>0…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-12-23 Ramzi May

We investigate what happens when an entire sample path of a smooth Gaussian process on a compact interval lies above a high level. Specifically, we determine the precise asymptotic probability of such an event, the extent to which the high…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

We examine the small expiry behaviour of European call options in stock price models of exponential L\'evy type. In most cases of interest, we are able to identify the exact small expiry asymptotics. In "complete generality" we are able to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Michael Roper

In the presence of a layer of metaprobabilities (from uncertainty concerning the parameters), the asymptotic tail exponent corresponds to the lowest possible tail exponent regardless of its probability. The problem explains "Black Swan"…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-09 Nassim N. Taleb

For integers $n\geq r$, we treat the $r$th largest of a sample of size $n$ as an $\mathbb{R}^\infty$-valued stochastic process in $r$ which we denote $\mathbf{M}^{(r)}$. We show that the sequence regarded in this way satisfies the Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-01 Boris Buchmann , Ross Maller , Sidney Resnick

We study the tail asymptotics of two functionals (the maximum and the sum of the marks) of a generic cluster in two sub-models of the marked Poisson cluster process, namely the renewal Poisson cluster process and the Hawkes process. Under…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Fabien Baeriswyl , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Olivier Wintenberger

Random deflated risk models have been considered in recent literatures. In this paper, we investigate second-order tail behavior of the deflated risk X=RS under the assumptions of second-order regular variation on the survival functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-14 E. Hashorva , C. Ling , Z. Peng

In this paper we develop a symbolic technique to obtain asymptotic expressions for ruin probabilities and discounted penalty functions in renewal insurance risk models when the premium income depends on the present surplus of the insurance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-15 Hansjörg Albrecher , Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Georg Regensburger , Markus Rosenkranz

We study asymptotic behavior in a class of non-autonomous second order parabolic equations with time periodic unbounded coefficients in $\mathbb R\times \mathbb R^d$. Our results generalize and improve asymptotic behavior results for Markov…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-08-11 L. Lorenzi , A. Lunardi , A. Zamboni

Let $X_{1},\ldots ,X_{n}$ be $n$ real-valued dependent random variables. With motivation from Mitra and Resnick (2009), we derive the tail asymptotic expansion for the weighted sum of order statistics $X_{1:n}\leq \cdots \leq X_{n:n}$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhi Li

In this article, we consider a Markov process X, starting from x and solving a stochastic differential equation, which is driven by a Brownian motion and an independent pure jump component exhibiting state-dependent jump intensity and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-29 José E. Figueroa-López , Yankeng Luo

We study the behavior of a real-valued and unobservable process (Y_t) under an extreme event of a related process (X_t) that is observable. Our analysis is motivated by the well-known GARCH model which represents two such sequences, i.e.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-16 Andree Ehlert , Ulf-Rainer Fiebig , Anja Janßen , Martin Schlather

We study a multivariate Hawkes process with long-range interactions, where the interaction strength decays as a power-law in the distance of the particles with exponent $1+\alpha.$ Our main focus is on the long-time asymptotic behavior of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Nadia Belmabrouk
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