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We propose a new definition of a multivariate subexponential distribution. We compare this definition with the two existing notions of multivariate subexponentiality, and compute the asymptotic behaviour of the ruin probability in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-18 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Julian Sun

We address the challenge of estimating the hyperuniformity exponent $\alpha$ of a spatial point process, given only one realization of it. Assuming that the structure factor $S$ of the point process follows a vanishing power law at the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Gabriel Mastrilli , Bartłomiej Błaszczyszyn , Frédéric Lavancier

Assume that we observe a stochastic process $(X(t))_{t\in[-r,T]}$, which satisfies the linear stochastic delay differential equation \[ \mathrm{d} X(t) = \vartheta \int_{[-r,0]} X(t + u) \, a(\mathrm{d} u) \, \mathrm{d} t + \mathrm{d} W(t)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 János Marcell Benke , Gyula Pap

Despite the widespread occurrence of classification problems and the increasing collection of point process data across many disciplines, study of error probability for point process classification only emerged very recently. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Xinhui Rong , Victor Solo

We consider minimizing the probability of falling below a target growth rate of the wealth process up to a time horizon $T$ in an incomplete market model, and then study the asymptotic behavior of minimizing probability as $T\to\infty$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-04 Hideo Nagai

We will use a discrete analogue of the classical Laplace method to show that for infinitely many positive integers $n$, the main term of the asymptotic expansion of the scaled $q$-exponential $(-q^{-nt+1/2}u;q)_{\infty}$ could be expressed…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ruiming Zhang

Let $Y=\sum_{k\ge 1} 1_{A_k}$ be an infinite sum of the indicators of independent events. We investigate a precise (as opposed to logarithmic) first-order asymptotic behavior of the tail probabilities $\mathbb{P}\{Y\ge n\}$ and the point…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Alexander Iksanov , Valeriya Kotelnikova

We consider the first exit time of a nonnegative Harris-recurrent Markov process from the interval $[0,A]$ as $A\to\infty$. We provide an alternative method of proof of asymptotic exponentiality of the first exit time (suitably…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-07 Moshe Pollak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

In this work we investigate the asymptotics for Euler's $q$-Exponential $E_{q}(z)$, $q$-Gamma function $\Gamma_{q}(z)$, Ramanujan's function $A_{q}(z)$, Jackson's $q$-Bessel function $J_{\nu}^{(2)}$(z;q) of second kind, Stieltjes-Wigert…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ruiming Zhang

Consider the random walk $S_n=\xi_1+...+\xi_n$ with independent and identically distributed increments and negative mean $\mathbf E\xi=-m<0$. Let $M=\sup_{0\le i} S_i$ be the supremum of the random walk. In this note we present derivation…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-30 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

The asymptotic tail behaviour of sums of independent subexponential random variables is well understood, one of the main characteristics being the principle of the single big jump. We study the case of dependent subexponential random…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Andrew Richards

We consider a stochastic volatility model with L\'evy jumps for a log-return process $Z=(Z_{t})_{t\geq 0}$ of the form $Z=U+X$, where $U=(U_{t})_{t\geq 0}$ is a classical stochastic volatility process and $X=(X_{t})_{t\geq 0}$ is an…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-23 J. E. Figueroa-López , R. Gong , C. Houdré

We study large deviations asymptotics for a class of unbounded additive functionals, interpreted as normalized accumulated areas, of one-dimensional Langevin diffusions with sub-linear gradient drifts. Our results provide parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Mihail Bazhba , Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Bert Zwart

In this paper we study the exponential functionals of the processes $X$ with independent increments , namely $$I_t= \int _0^t\exp(-X_s)ds, _,\,\, t\geq 0,$$ and also $$I_{\infty}= \int _0^{\infty}\exp(-X_s)ds.$$ When $X$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-09 P. Salminen , L. Vostrikova

Solitons in one-dimensional parity-time (PT)-symmetric periodic potentials are studied using exponential asymptotics. The new feature of this exponential asymptotics is that, unlike conservative periodic potentials, the inner and outer…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2014-05-13 Sean Nixon , Jianke Yang

Options with maturities below one week, hereafter "ultra-short-term" options, have seen a sharp increase in trading activity in recent years. Yet, these instruments are difficult to price jointly using classical pricing models due to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-01 Federico M. Bandi , Nicola Fusari , Guido Gazzani , Roberto Renò

We investigate extreme value statistics (EVS) of general discrete time and continuous space symmetric jump processes. We first show that for unbounded jump processes, the semi-infinite propagator $G_0(x,n)$, defined as the probability for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-08 Jérémie Klinger , Raphaël Voituriez , Olivier Bénichou

Hawkes process is a simple point process that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience, social networks,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

In this work the asymptotic properties of $Q_t(N)$ ,the probability of the number of renewals ($N$), that occur during time $t$ are explored. While the forms of the distribution at very long times, i.e. $t\to\infty$, are very well known and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-02 Stanislav Burov

We consider the Halfin-Whitt diffusion process $X_d(t)$, which is used, for example, as an approximation to the $m$-server $M/M/m$ queue. We use recently obtained integral representations for the transient density $p(x,t)$ of this diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-06 Qiang Zhen , Charles Knessl