Related papers: Weak Limits of Random Coefficient Autoregressive P…
We study modified ruin probabilities in a Cram\'er-Lundberg model driven by a compound mixed Poisson process. In the heavy-tailed regime, if the integrated claim-size distribution is subexponential and the upper endpoint of the mixing…
This paper investigates weak convergence of U-statistics via approximation in probability. The classical condition that the second moment of the kernel of the underlying U-statistic exists is relaxed to having 4/3 moments only (modulo a…
The expected signature uniquely determines the law of a random rough path under a moment-growth condition, yet finite-sample bounds for estimating it from a single long dependent trajectory have been lacking. We study a stationary…
Let $X_n(k)$ be the number of vertices at level $k$ in a random recursive tree with $n+1$ vertices. We are interested in the asymptotic behavior of $X_n(k)$ for intermediate levels $k=k_n$ satisfying $k_n\to\infty$ and $k_n=o(\log n)$ as…
This paper derives non-asymptotic error bounds for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms in the Wasserstein-$p$ distance. To obtain explicit finite-sample guarantees for the last iterate, we develop a coupling argument that compares…
We investigate, focusing on the ruin probability, an adaptation of the Cramer-Lundberg model for the surplus process of an insurance company, in which, conditionally on their intensities, the two mixed Poisson processes governing the…
This paper concerns an insurance firm's surplus process observed at renewal inspection times, with a focus on assessing the probability of the surplus level dropping below zero. For various types of inter-inspection time distributions, an…
We consider a random process as a solution of stochastic differential equations with dependence of the coefficients on small parameter $\varepsilon$ and we suppose that the drift coefficients of these equations are unbounded on the…
We consider a renewal process which models a cumulative shock model that fails when the accumulation of shocks up-crosses a certain threshold. The ratio limit properties of the probabilities of non-failure after n cumulative shocks are…
We provide sufficient conditions for polynomial rate of convergence in the weak law of large numbers for supercritical general indecomposable multi-type branching processes. The main result is derived by investigating the embedded…
We study normal approximations for a class of discrete-time occupancy processes, namely, Markov chains with transition kernels of product Bernoulli form. This class encompasses numerous models which appear in the complex networks…
We study a multidimensional renewal risk model, with common counting process and cadlag returns. Considering that the claim vectors have common distribution from some multivariate distribution class with heavy tail, are mutually weakly…
The small noise cut-off phenomenon in continuous time and space has been studied in the recent literature for the linear and non-linear stable Langevin dynamics with additive L\'evy drivers - understood as abrupt thermalization of the…
Consider a family of random ordinary differential equations on a manifold driven by vector fields of the form $\sum_kY_k\alpha_k(z_t^\epsilon(\omega))$ where $Y_k$ are vector fields, $\epsilon$ is a positive number, $z_t^\epsilon$ is a…
The univariate extreme value theory deals with the convergence in type of powers of elements of sequences of cumulative distribution functions on the real line when the power index gets infinite. In terms of convergence of random variables,…
This paper investigates ruin probabilities for a two-dimensional fractional Brownian risk model with a proportional reinsurance scheme. We focus on joint and simultaneous ruin probabilities in a finite-time horizon. The risk processes of…
We study a new technique for the asymptotic analysis of heavy-tailed systems conditioned on large deviations events. We illustrate our approach in the context of ruin events of multidimensional regularly varying random walks. Our approach…
We consider an individual or household endowed with an initial capital and an income, modeled as a linear function of time. Assuming that the discount rate evolves as an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, we target to find an unrestricted…
We consider continuous time risk processes in which the claim sizes are dependent and non-identically distributed phase-type distributions. The class of distributions we propose is easy to characterize and allows to incorporate the…
We consider the problem of minimizing the probability of ruin by purchasing reinsurance whose premium is computed according to the mean-variance premium principle, a combination of the expected-value and variance premium principles. We…