English

Modified ruin probability for a Cram\'er-Lundberg model driven by a compound mixed Poisson process

Probability 2026-05-11 v1

Abstract

We study modified ruin probabilities in a Cram\'er-Lundberg model driven by a compound mixed Poisson process. In the heavy-tailed regime, if the integrated claim-size distribution is subexponential and the upper endpoint of the mixing distribution stays below the net-profit boundary, the modified and classical ruin probabilities are asymptotically equivalent. In the light-tailed regime, we prove a fixed-intensity ratio theorem and obtain both an endpoint-atom result and a sharp endpoint-density asymptotic with an explicit constant.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2605.07059,
  title  = {Modified ruin probability for a Cram\'er-Lundberg model driven by a compound mixed Poisson process},
  author = {Noriyoshi Sakuma and Momoka Tashiro},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.07059},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

6 pages, no figures

R2 v1 2026-07-01T12:56:34.343Z