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We examine weak anticipations in discrete-time and continuous-time financial markets consisting of one risk-free asset and multiple risky assets, defining a minimal probability measure associated with the anticipation that does not depend…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Geoff Lindsell

In this paper we study the joint ruin problem for two insurance companies that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions (modeling two branches of the same insurance company or an insurance and re-insurance…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-16 Florin Avram , Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn Pistorius

We show that anomalous diffusion arises in two different models for the motion of randomly forced and weakly damped particles: one is a generalisation of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with a random force which depends on position as well…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-03-05 Vlad Bezuglyy , Michael Wilkinson , Bernhard Mehlig

In this paper, we obtain the finite-horizon and infinite-horizon ruin probability asymptotics for risk processes with claims of subexponential tails for non-stationary arrival processes that satisfy a large deviation principle. As a result,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

Markovian diffusion processes yield a system of conservation laws which couple various conditional expectation values (local moments). Solutions of that closed system of deterministic partial differential equations stand for a regular…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Garbaczewski

We establish subgeometric bounds on convergence rate of general Markov processes in the Wasserstein metric. In the discrete time setting we prove that the Lyapunov drift condition and the existence of a "good" $d$-small set imply…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-20 Oleg Butkovsky

In this paper, we study the weak convergence of the integrated periodogram indexed by classes of functions for linear processes with symmetric $\alpha$-stable innovations. Under suitable summability conditions on the series of the Fourier…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-24 Sami Umut Can , Thomas Mikosch , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We use the martingale convergence method to get the weak convergence theorem on general functionals of partial sums of independent heavy-tailed random variables. The limiting process is the stochastic integral driven by $\alpha-$stable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-18 Zhengyan Lin , Hanchao Wang

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

By a random process with immigration at random times we mean a shot noise process with a random response function (response process) in which shots occur at arbitrary random times. The so defined random processes generalize random processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Congzao Dong , Alexander Iksanov

We study the problem of sampling from a distribution $\target$ using the Langevin Monte Carlo algorithm and provide rate of convergences for this algorithm in terms of Wasserstein distance of order $2$. Our result holds as long as the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-04 Thomas Bonis

We prove Berry-Esseen type rates of convergence for central limit theorems (CLTs) of regenerative processes which generalize previous results of Bolthausen under weaker moment assumptions. We then show how this general result can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Xiaoqin Guo , Jonathon Peterson

We develop theory and applications of forward characteristic processes in discrete time following a seminal paper of Jan Kallsen and Paul Kr\"uhner. Particular emphasis is placed on the dynamics of volatility surfaces which can be easily…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-08 Anja Richter , Josef Teichmann

We study a dynamic model of a non-life insurance portfolio. The foundation of the model is a compound Poisson process that represents the claims side of the insurer. To introduce clusters of claims appearing, e.g. with catastrophic events,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Jonathan Klinge , Maren Diane Schmeck

Using Fourier analysis, we study local limit theorems in weak-convergence problems. Among many applications, we discuss random matrix theory, some probabilistic models in number theory, the winding number of complex brownian motion and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Freddy Delbaen , Emmanuel Kowalski , Ashkan Nikeghbali

Let $(U_n(t))_{t\in\R^d}$ be the empirical process associated to an $\R^d$-valued stationary process $(X_i)_{i\ge 0}$. We give general conditions, which only involve processes $(f(X_i))_{i\ge 0}$ for a restricted class of functions $f$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Olivier Durieu , Marco Tusche

Consider the invariance principle for a random walk with random environment (denoted by $\mu$) in time on $\bfR$ in a weak quenched sense. We show that a sequence of the random probability measures on $\bfR$ generated by a bounded Lipschitz…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-14 You Lv , Wenming Hong

For each $n \geq 1$, let $\{X_{j,n}\}_{1 \leq j \leq n}$ be a sequence of strictly stationary random variables. In this article, we give some asymptotic weak dependence conditions for the convergence in distribution of the point process…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-28 Raluca Balan , Sana Louhichi

We study the problem of sampling from a probability distribution on $\mathbb R^p$ defined via a convex and smooth potential function. We consider a continuous-time diffusion-type process, termed Penalized Langevin dynamics (PLD), the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Avetik Karagulyan , Arnak S. Dalalyan

Consider a multivariate L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process where the stationary distribution or background driving L\'evy process is from a parametric family. We derive the likelihood function assuming that the innovation term is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-01 Kevin W. Lu
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