Related papers: Weak Limits of Random Coefficient Autoregressive P…
Due to its practical use, De Vylder's approximation of the ruin probability has been one of the most popular approximations in ruin theory and its application to insurance. Surprisingly, only heuristic and numerical evidence has supported…
We present a new lower bound on the differential entropy rate of stationary processes whose sequences of probability density functions fulfill certain regularity conditions. This bound is obtained by showing that the gap between the…
We investigate a particular form of weak convergence of the local empirical process.
In this paper, we consider a classical risk model refracted at given level. We give an explicit expression for the joint density of the ruin time and the cumulative number of claims counted up to ruin time. The proof is based on solving…
In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider few versions of the ruin…
Discretization of continuous-time diffusion processes is a widely recognized method for sampling. However, it seems to be a considerable restriction when the potentials are often required to be smooth (gradient Lipschitz). This paper…
This paper presents a wp-style calculus for obtaining bounds on the expected run-time of probabilistic programs. Its application includes determining the (possibly infinite) expected termination time of a probabilistic program and proving…
We establish that Laplace transforms of the posterior Dirichlet process converge to those of the limiting Brownian bridge process in a neighbourhood about zero, uniformly over Glivenko-Cantelli function classes. For real-valued random…
In this paper, we study finite-time ruin probabilities for the compound Markov binomial risk model - a discrete-time model where claim sizes are modulated by a finite-state ergodic Markov chain. In the classic (non-modulated) case, the risk…
In this paper, we consider an optimal reinsurance problem to minimize the probability of drawdown for the scaled Cram\'er-Lundberg risk model when the reinsurance premium is computed according to the mean-variance premium principle. We…
We study an optimal execution problem in the presence of market impact where the security price follows a geometric Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, which implies the mean-reverting property, and show that the optimal strategy is a mixture of…
We investigate the properties of a sequential Monte Carlo method where the particle weight that appears in the algorithm is estimated by a positive, unbiased estimator. We present broadly-applicable convergence results, including a central…
In this paper, the asymptotic behavior of the entrance probability of discounted aggregate claims of a certain family of rare sets is studied, considering the finite and infinite time horizons. This multivariate risk model, driven by a…
In this paper, we study the weak convergence of the extremes of supercritical branching L\'evy processes $\{\mathbb{X}_t, t \ge0\}$ whose spatial motions are L\'evy processes with regularly varying tails. The result is drastically different…
We consider a class of nearest-neighbor weakly asymmetric mass conservative particle systems evolving on $\mathbb{Z}$, which includes zero-range and types of exclusion processes, starting from a perturbation of a stationary state. When the…
In this paper, we investigate a class of spherical functional autoregressive processes, and we discuss the estimation of the corresponding autoregressive kernels. In particular, we first establish a consistency result (in sup and…
In this work, we propose a simplification of the Pollaczek-Khinchine formula for the ultimate time survival (or ruin) probability calculation in exchange for a few assumptions on the random variables which generate the renewal risk model.…
We construct a zero-entropy weakly mixing finite-valued process with the exponential limit law for return resp. hitting times. This limit law is obtained in almost every point, taking the limit along the full sequence of cylinders around…
In this paper, we develop an exact reformulation and a deterministic approximation for distributionally robust joint chance-constrained programmings (DRCCPs) with a general class of convex uncertain constraints under data-driven Wasserstein…
We provide an original and general sufficient criterion ensuring the exponential contraction of Feynman-Kac semi-groups of penalized processes. This criterion is applied to time-inhomogeneous one-dimensional diffusion processes conditioned…