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While death rates due to diseases of the heart have experienced a sharp decline over the past 50 years, these diseases continue to be the leading cause of death in the United States, and the rate of decline varies by geographic location,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-23 Harrison Quick , Lance A. Waller , Michele Casper

Objective: Predict patient-specific vitals deemed medically acceptable for discharge from a pediatric intensive care unit (ICU). Design: The means of each patient's hr, sbp and dbp measurements between their medical and physical discharge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-19 Cameron Carlin , Long Van Ho , David Ledbetter , Melissa Aczon , Randall Wetzel

Survival models are a popular tool for the analysis of time to event data with applications in medicine, engineering, economics, and many more. Advances like the Cox proportional hazard model have enabled researchers to better describe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Stefan Groha , Sebastian M Schmon , Alexander Gusev

The application of machine learning models can be significantly impeded by the occurrence of distributional shifts, as the assumption of homogeneity between the population of training and testing samples in machine learning and statistics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Wenlu Tang , Zicheng Liu

Objectives: Prior event rate ratio (PERR) is a method shown to perform well in mitigating confounding in real-world evidence research but it depends on several model assumptions. We propose an analytic strategy to correct biases arising…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Xiangmei Ma , Grace Meijuan Yang , Qingyuan Zhuang , Yin Bun Cheung

Patient status, angiographic and procedural characteristics encode crucial signals for predicting long-term outcomes after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The aim of the study was to develop a predictive model for assessing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Daniil Burakov , Ivan Petrov , Dmitrii Khelimskii , Ivan Bessonov , Mikhail Lazarev

We predict the average effect of Medicaid expansion on the non-elderly adult uninsurance rate among states that did not expand Medicaid in 2014 as if they had expanded their Medicaid eligibility requirements. Using American Community Survey…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-24 Max Rubinstein , Amelia Haviland , David Choi

Different ways of calculating mortality ratios during epidemics have yielded very different results, particularly during the current COVID-19 pandemic. We formulate both a survival probability model and an associated infection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-06 Lucas Böttcher , Mingtao Xia , Tom Chou

The Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) of COVID-19 is difficult to estimate because the number of infections is unknown and there is a lag between each infection and the potentially subsequent death. We introduce a new approach for estimating…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Naveen Pai , Sean Zhang , Mor Harchol-Balter

This paper considers identification and estimation of distributional effect parameters that depend on the joint distribution of an outcome and another variable of interest ("treatment") in a setting with "two-sided" measurement error --…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-23 Brantly Callaway , Tong Li , Irina Murtazashvili , Emmanuel Tsyawo

Many investigations have used panel methods to study the relationships between fluctuations in economic activity and mortality. A broad consensus has emerged on the overall procyclical nature of mortality: perhaps counter-intuitively,…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-02 Edward L. Ionides , Zhen Wang , José A. Tapia Granados

We assessed the validity of one of the most frequently used methods to estimate cancer incidence, on the basis of cancer mortality data and the incidence-to-mortality ratio IMR, the IMR method. Using the previous 15 year cancer mortality…

In this paper we investigate the flexibility of matrix distributions for the modeling of mortality. Starting from a simple Gompertz law, we show how the introduction of matrix-valued parameters via inhomogeneous phase-type distributions can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt , Jorge Yslas

Widespread population aging has made it critical to understand death rates at old ages. However, studying mortality at old ages is challenging because the data are sparse: numbers of survivors and deaths get smaller and smaller with age. We…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-29 Dennis M. Feehan

Abortion is one of the biggest causes of maternal deaths, accounting for 15% of maternal deaths in Southeast Asia. The increase in and effectiveness of using contraception are still considered to be the effective method to reduce abortion…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-06 R. Sutiawan

Adverse conditions in early life can have consequential impacts on individuals' health in older age. In one of the first papers on this topic, Barker and Osmond 1986 show a strong positive relationship between infant mortality rates in the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-05 Samuel Baker , Pietro Biroli , Hans van Kippersluis , Stephanie von Hinke

Contextual sensing and delivery of digital interventions to improve health outcomes have gained significant traction in behavioral and psychiatric studies. Micro-randomized trials (MRTs) are a common experimental design for obtaining…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Jieru Shi , Zhenke Wu , Walter Dempsey

Maternal exposure to environmental chemicals during pregnancy can alter birth and children's health outcomes. Research seeks to identify critical windows, time periods when the exposures can change future health outcomes, and estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-14 Daniel Mork , Ander Wilson

We propose a probabilistic mortality forecasting model that can be applied to derive forecasts for populations with regular and irregular mortality developments. Our model (1) uses rates of mortality improvement to model dynamic age…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-14 Christina Bohk , Roland Rau

This paper studies birth and death processes in interactive random environments where the birth and death rates and the dynamics of the state of the environment are dependent on each other. Two models of a random environment are considered:…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Guodong Pang , Andrey Sarantsev , Yuri Suhov
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