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The micro-randomized trial (MRT) is a sequential randomized experimental design to empirically evaluate the effectiveness of mobile health (mHealth) intervention components that may be delivered at hundreds or thousands of decision points.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Jieru Shi , Zhenke Wu , Walter Dempsey

Maternal exposure to air pollution during pregnancy has a substantial public health impact. Epidemiological evidence supports an association between maternal exposure to air pollution and low birth weight. A popular method to estimate this…

The wealth of nations and the health of populations are intimately strongly associated, yet the extent to which economic prosperity (GDP per capita) causes improved health remains disputed. The purpose of this article is to analyze the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-01 Adel Daoud

A child is considered to have faltered growth when increases in their height or weight starts to decline relative to a suitable comparison population. However, there is currently a lack of consensus on both the choice of anthropometric…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-17 Jarod Y. L. Lee , Craig Anderson , Wai T. Hung , Hon Hwang , Louise M. Ryan

Several key metrics in public health convey the probability that a primary event will lead to a more serious secondary event in the future. These "severity rates" can change over the course of an epidemic in response to shifting conditions…

As cancer patient survival improves, late effects from treatment are becoming the next clinical challenge. Chemotherapy and radiotherapy, for example, potentially increase the risk of both morbidity and mortality from second malignancies…

Background: Researchers typically identify pregnancies in healthcare data based on observed outcomes (e.g., delivery). This outcome-based approach misses pregnancies that received prenatal care but whose outcomes were not recorded (e.g.,…

Our work was motivated by a recent study on birth defects of infants born to pregnant women exposed to a certain medication for treating chronic diseases. Outcomes such as birth defects are rare events in the general population, which often…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-24 Ronghui Xu , Jue Hou , Christina D. Chambers

Ischaemic heart disease (IHD) remains the primary cause of mortality in the US. This study focuses on using spatio-temporal disease mapping models to explore the temporal trends of IHD at the county level from 1999 to 2021. To manage the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-10 A. Urdangarin , T. Goicoa , P. Congdon , MD. Ugarte

Understanding the underlying causes of maternal death across all regions of the world is essential to inform policies and resource allocation to reduce the mortality burden. However, in many countries there exists very little data on the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-09 Monica Alexander , Michael Y. C. Chong , Marija Pejcinovska

Investigating the causal relationship between exposure and the time-to-event outcome is an important topic in biomedical research. Previous literature has discussed the potential issues of using the hazard ratio as a marginal causal effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-05 Zihan Lin , Ai Ni , Bo Lu

Although interventional studies demonstrate that preventing malaria during pregnancy can reduce the low birth weight (i.e., child's birth weight $<$ 2,500 grams) rate, it remains unknown whether natural changes in parasite transmission and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-14 Siyu Heng , Wendy P. O'Meara , Ryan A. Simmons , Dylan S. Small

The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 is one of the measures of disease impact that can be of importance for policy making. Here we show that many of the studies on which these estimates are based are scientifically flawed for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-24 Chen Shen , Derrick Van Gennep , Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Yaneer Bar-Yam

In healthcare, predictive models increasingly inform patient-level decisions, yet little attention is paid to the variability in individual risk estimates and its impact on treatment decisions. For overparameterized models, now standard in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Elizabeth W. Miller , Jeffrey D. Blume

Numerous studies have examined the associations between long-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and adverse health outcomes. Recently, many of these studies have begun to employ high-resolution predicted PM2.5 concentrations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Kevin P. Josey , Priyanka deSouza , Xiao Wu , Danielle Braun , Rachel Nethery

We study the estimation of causal effects on group-level parameters identified from microdata (e.g., child penalties). We demonstrate that standard one-step methods (such as pooled OLS and IV regressions) are generally inconsistent due to…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-13 Dmitry Arkhangelsky , Kazuharu Yanagimoto , Tom Zohar

Gun violence is a major source of injury and death in the United States. However, relatively little is known about the effects of firearm injuries on survivors and their family members and how these effects vary across subpopulations. To…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-04 Eric R. Cohn , Zirui Song , Jose R. Zubizarreta

Opioid overdose rates have reached an epidemic level and state-level policy innovations have followed suit in an effort to prevent overdose deaths. State-level drug law is a set of policies that may reinforce or undermine each other, and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-07 Jarrod Olson , Po-Hsu Allen Chen , Marissa White , Nicole Brennan , Ning Gong

Verbal autopsy (VA) algorithms are routinely used to determine individual-level causes of death (COD) in many low-and-middle-income countries, which are then aggregated to derive population-level cause-specific mortality fractions (CSMF),…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-07 Sandipan Pramanik , Scott Zeger , Dianna Blau , Abhirup Datta

Measurement error can often be harmful when estimating causal effects. Two scenarios in which this is the case are in the estimation of (a) the average treatment effect when confounders are measured with error and (b) the natural indirect…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Caleb H. Miles , Linda Valeri , Brent Coull
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