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We provide a general model for Brownian motions on metric graphs with interactions. In a general setting, for (sticky) Brownian propagations on edges, our model provides a characterization of lifetimes and holding times on vertices in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Fausto Colantoni , Mirko D'Ovidio , Flavia Tavani

We give a probabilistic representation of a one-dimensional diffusion equation where the solution is discontinuous at $0$ with a jump proportional to its flux. This kind of interface condition is usually seen as a semi-permeable barrier.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Antoine Lejay

In recent times we hear increasingly often about cyber attacks on various commercial and strategic sites that manage to escape any defense. In this article, we model such attacks on networks via stochastic processes and predict the time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Jewgeni H. Dshalalow , Ryan T. White

We construct a stochastic process whose drift is a function of the process's local time at a reflecting barrier. The process arose as a model of the interactions of a Brownian particle and an inert particle in (Knight, 2001). Interesting…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David White

Throughout physics Brownian dynamics are used to describe the behaviour of molecular systems. When the Brownian particle is confined to a bounded domain, a particularly important question arises around determining how long it takes the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Jason J. Bramburger

In this paper we investigate the behavior of the bridges of a Markov counting process in several directions. We first characterize convexity(concavity) in time of the mean value in terms of lower (upper) bounds on the so called…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Giovanni Conforti

We study the rate of convergence of two discrete processes towards the Brownian bridge: the random walk conditioned to be zero at time 2n and the empirical process which appears in the Glivencko-Cantelli theorem. Combining a functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Laurent Decreusefond , Antonin Jacquet

We consider a market model where there are two levels of information. The public information generated by the financial assets, and a larger flow of information that contains additional knowledge about a random time. This random time can…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-30 Tahir Choulli , Catherine Daveloose , Michèle Vanmaele

We consider a gas of independent Brownian particles on a bounded interval in contact with two particle reservoirs at the endpoints. Due to the Brownian nature of the particles, infinitely many particles enter and leave the system in each…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Lorenzo Bertini , Gustavo Posta

Prediction of events in financial markets is every investor's dream and, usually, wishful thinking. From a more general, economic and societal viewpoint, the identification of indicators for large events is highly desirable to assess…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-11 Anton J. Heckens , Thomas Guhr

We construct a Bayesian sequential test of two simple hypotheses about the value of the unobservable drift coefficient of a Brownian motion, with a possibility to change the initial decision at subsequent moments of time for some penalty.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

We consider the problem of leakage or effusion of an ensemble of independent stochastic processes from a region where they are initially randomly distributed. The case of Brownian motion, initially confined to the left half line with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-29 David S. Dean , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We revisit classical asymptotics when testing for a structural break in linear regression models by obtaining the limit theory of residual-based and Wald-type processes. First, we establish the Brownian bridge limiting distribution of these…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-16 Christis Katsouris

We consider non-colliding Brownian bridges starting from two points and returning to the same position. These positions are chosen such that, in the limit of large number of bridges, the two families of bridges just touch each other forming…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-29 Patrik L. Ferrari , Balint Veto

Many inverse problems require reconstructing physical fields from limited and noisy data while incorporating known governing equations. A growing body of work within probabilistic numerics formalizes such tasks via Bayesian inference in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-19 Alex Alberts , Ilias Bilionis

In applications spaning from image analysis and speech recognition, to energy dissipation in turbulence and time-to failure of fatigued materials, researchers and engineers want to calculate how often a stochastic observable crosses a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-21 Markus Nyberg , Ludvig Lizana , Tobias Ambjörnsson

Aldous and Pitman (1994) studied asymptotic distributions, as n tends to infinity, of various functionals of a uniform random mapping of a set of n elements, by constructing a mapping-walk and showing these mapping-walks converge weakly to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Aldous , Jim Pitman

We suggest a model for data losses in a single node of a packet-switched network (like the Internet) which reduces to one-dimensional discrete random walks with unusual boundary conditions. The model shows critical behavior with an abrupt…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 I. V. Yurkevich , I. V. Lerner , A. S. Stepanenko , C. C. Constantinou

The laws of chance are often subtle and deceptive. This is why games of chance work. People are convinced that they obey seemingly intuitive laws, while the underlying mathematical structure reveals a different and more complex reality.…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Paolo Bartesaghi
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