Related papers: Brownian Bridges on Random Intervals
We prove an invariance principle for the bridge of a random walk conditioned to stay positive, when the random walk is in the domain of attraction of a stable law, both in the discrete and in the absolutely continuous setting. This includes…
In this paper we study periodical stochastic processes, and we define the conditions that are needed by a model to be a good noise model on the circumference. The classes of processes that fit the required conditions are studied together…
The question how the extremal values of a stochastic process achieved on different time intervals are correlated to each other has been discussed within the last few years on examples of the running maximum of a Brownian motion, of a…
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in a banking system model. The banking system model consists in an initial value problem for a system of stochastic differential equations whose dependent variables are the log-monetary…
We analyze cascades of defaults in an interbank loan market. The novel feature of this study is that the network structure and the size distribution of banks are derived from empirical data. We find that the ability of a defaulted…
We consider a stationary fluid queue with fractional Brownian motion input. Conditional on the workload at time zero being greater than a large value $b$, we provide the limiting distribution for the amount of time that the workload process…
In this paper, a study of random times on filtered probability spaces is undertaken. The main message is that, as long as distributional properties of optional processes up to the random time are involved, there is no loss of generality in…
We show that when a Brownian bridge is physically constrained to satisfy a canonical condition, its time evolution exactly coincides with an m-geodesic on the statistical manifold of Gaussian distributions. This identification provides a…
This paper examines how regulatory interventions in high-frequency financial markets affect price discovery. We focus on Breaking news, where dynamic circuit breakers trigger trading halts immediately after the release of macroeconomic…
It is traditionally believed that the macroscopic randomness has nothing to do with the micro-level uncertainty. Besides, the sensitive dependence on initial condition (SDIC) of Lorenz chaos has never been considered together with the…
We introduce a new residual-bridge proposal for approximately simulating conditioned diffusions. This proposal is formed by applying the modified diffusion bridge approximation of Durham and Gallant (2002) to the difference between the true…
Bank crisis is challenging to define but can be manifested through bank contagion. This study presents a comprehensive framework grounded in nonlinear time series analysis to identify potential early warning signals (EWS) for impending…
The conditional density of Brownian motion is considered given the max, B(t|\max), as well as those with additional information: B(t|close, max), B(t|close, max, min) and B(t|max, min) where the close is the final value: B(t=1)=c and t in…
We study the statistics of near-extreme events of Brownian motion (BM) on the time interval [0,t]. We focus on the density of states (DOS) near the maximum \rho(r,t) which is the amount of time spent by the process at a distance r from the…
Using Foster-Lyapunov techniques we establish new conditions on non-extinction, non-explosion, coming down from infinity and staying infinite, respectively, for the general continuous-state nonlinear branching processes introduced in Li et…
Early warning signals have been proposed to forecast the possibility of a critical transition, such as the eutrophication of a lake, the collapse of a coral reef, or the end of a glacial period. Because such transitions often unfold on…
Suppose that a sequence of data points follows a distribution of a certain parametric form, but that one or more of the underlying parameters may change over time. This paper addresses various natural questions in such a framework. We…
We consider an empirical process based upon ratio of selected pair of the non-overlapping $m$-spacings generated by independent samples of arbitrary sizes. As a main result, we show that when both samples are uniformly distributed on…
A watermelon is a set of $p$ Bernoulli paths starting and ending at the same ordinate, that do not intersect. In this paper, we show the convergence in distribution of two sorts of watermelons (with or without wall condition) to processes…
We study an optimal investment problem under default risk where related information such as loss or recovery at default is considered as an exogenous random mark added at default time. Two types of agents who have different levels of…