Related papers: Brownian Bridges on Random Intervals
In this paper we discuss a credit risk model with a pure jump L\'evy process for the asset value and an unobservable random barrier. The default time is the first time when the asset value falls below the barrier. Using the…
We prove a property of Brownian bridges whose certain time-equidistant sequences of points are pairwise coupled by an interaction. Roughly saying, if the total time span $t$ of the bridge tends to infinity while the distance of its end…
We propose a model for the credit markets in which the random default times of bonds are assumed to be given as functions of one or more independent "market factors". Market participants are assumed to have partial information about each of…
This paper motivates the use of random-bridges -- stochastic processes conditioned to take target distributions at fixed timepoints -- in the realm of generative modelling. Herein, random-bridges can act as stochastic transports between two…
We study the statistical inference problem for a complex $\alpha$-fractional Brownian bridge process $Z$ defined by the stochastic differential equation \[ \mathrm{d}Z_t = -\alpha \frac{Z_t}{T - t} \mathrm{d}t + \mathrm{d}\zeta_t, \quad t…
The transient fluctuation of the prosperity of firms in a network economy is investigated with an abstract stochastic model. The model describes the profit which firms make when they sell materials to a firm which produces a product and the…
We study the default risk in incomplete information. That means, we model the value of a firm by one L\'evy process which is the sum of brownian motion with drift and compound Poisson process. This L\'evy process can not be observed…
Consider a negatively drifted one dimensional Brownian motion starting at positive initial position, its first hitting time to 0 has the inverse Gaussian law. Moreover, conditionally on this hitting time, the Brownian motion up to that time…
This paper develops a continuous-time filtering framework for estimating a hazard rate subject to an unobservable change-point. This framework naturally arises in both financial and insurance applications, where the default intensity of a…
An efficient conditioning technique, the so-called Brownian Bridge simulation, has previously been applied to eliminate pricing bias that arises in applications of the standard discrete-time Monte Carlo method to evaluate options written on…
We study optimal double stopping problems driven by a Brownian bridge. The objective is to maximize the expected spread between the payoffs achieved at the two stopping times. We study several cases where the solutions can be solved…
The Black-Litterman model is a framework for incorporating forward-looking expert views in a portfolio optimization problem. Existing work focuses almost exclusively on single-period problems with the forecast horizon matching that of the…
For $d\ge1$ and $r>0$, let $X^{(d;r)}(\cdot)$ be a $d$-dimensional Brownian motion with diffusion coefficient $D$, equipped with an exponential clock with rate $r$. When the clock rings, the process jumps to the origin and begins anew. For…
The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…
We consider a renewal process that is conditioned on the number of events in a fixed time horizon. We prove that a centered and scaled version of this process converges to a Brownian bridge, as the number of events grows large, which relies…
We analyze an irreversible investment decision for a project which yields a flow of future operating profits given by a geometric Brownian motion with unknown drift. In contrast to similar optimal stopping problems with incomplete…
We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company invests its reserve in a risky asset with a switching regime price. We assume that the asset price is a conditional geometric Brownian motion with parameters modulated by…
A Markovian bridge is a probability measure taken from a disintegration of the law of an initial part of the path of a Markov process given its terminal value. As such, Markovian bridges admit a natural parameterization in terms of the…
We establish the Brownian bridge asymptotics for a scaled self-avoiding walk conditioned on arriving to a far away point $n \vec{a}$ for $\vec{a}$ in $Z^d$, as $n$ increases to infinity.
This paper concerns an insurance firm's surplus process observed at renewal inspection times, with a focus on assessing the probability of the surplus level dropping below zero. For various types of inter-inspection time distributions, an…