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Even in the face of deteriorating and highly volatile demand, firms often invest in, rather than discard, aging technologies. In order to study this phenomenon, we model the firm's profit stream as a Brownian motion with negative drift. At…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-08 H. Dharma Kwon

The standard functional central limit theorem for a renewal process with finite mean and variance, results in a Brownian motion limit. This note shows how to obtain a Brownian bridge process by a direct procedure that does not involve…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Takis Konstantopoulos

This paper presents an overview of information-based asset pricing. In this approach, an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. The market is assumed to have access to "partial" information about future cash flows. Each cash flow is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-31 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

Mathematically, the execution of an American-style financial derivative is commonly reduced to solving an optimal stopping problem. Breaking the general assumption that the knowledge of the holder is restricted to the price history of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-25 Bernardo D'Auria , Eduardo García-Portugués , Abel Guada

This study aims to construct a stochastic process called "Brownian house-moving," which is a Brownian bridge conditioned to stay between two curves. To construct this process, statements are prepared on the weak convergence of conditioned…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-01 Kensuke Ishitani , Daisuke Hatakenaka , Keisuke Suzuki

The problem of stopping a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning point to maximise the expected value at the stopping time is studied. A few general properties, such as continuity and various bounds of the value function, are established.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

In this paper, the problem of bridge consensus is presented and solved. Bridge consensus consists of a network of nodes, some of whom are participating and others are non-participating. The objective is for all the agents to reach average…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-01-13 David W. Casbeer , Yongcan Cao , Eloy Garcia , Dejan Milutinovic

For a Brownian bridge from $0$ to $y$ we prove that the mean of the first exit time from interval $(-h,h), \,\, h>0,$ behaves as $O(h^2)$ when $h \downarrow 0.$ Similar behavior is seen to hold also for the 3-dimensional Bessel bridge. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Christel Geiss , Antti Luoto , Paavo Salminen

We consider particles that are conditioned to initial and final states. The trajectory of these particles is uniquely shaped by the intricate interplay of internal and external sources of randomness. The internal randomness is aptly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Daniel Owusu Adu , Yongxin Chen

We consider a directed random walk making either 0 or $+1$ moves and a Brownian bridge, independent of the walk, conditioned to arrive at point $b$ on time $T$. The Hamiltonian is defined as the sum of the square of increments of the bridge…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Servet Martinez , Dimitri Petritis

A new framework for asset price dynamics is introduced in which the concept of noisy information about future cash flows is used to derive the price processes. In this framework an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. Each cash flow…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-31 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

A conditioned stochastic process can display a very different behavior from the unconditioned process. In particular, a conditioned process can exhibit non-Gaussian fluctuations even if the unconditioned process is Gaussian. In this work,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-18 Tristan Gautié , Naftali R. Smith

We generalize the notion of Gaussian bridges by conditioning Gaussian processes given that certain linear functionals of the sample paths vanish. We show the equivalence of the laws of the unconditioned and the conditioned process and by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-05 Maik Gorgens

In this paper we study the sojourn time on the positive half-line up to time $ t $ of a drifted Brownian motion with starting point $ u $ and subject to the condition that $ \min_{ 0\leq z \leq l} B(z)> v $, with $ u > v $. This process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-01 Francesco Iafrate , Enzo Orsingher

We investigate the impact of available information on the estimation of the default probability within a generalized structural model for credit risk. The traditional structural model where default is triggered when the value of the firm's…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Imke Redeker , Ralf Wunderlich

The principal aim of this work is the evidence on empirical way that catastrophic bifurcation breakdowns or transitions, proceeded by flickering phenomenon, are present on notoriously significant and unpredictable financial markets.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-18 M. Kozłowska , T. Gubiec , T. R. Werner , M. Denys , A. Sienkiewicz , R. Kutner , Z. Struzik

We propose and test a method to interpolate sparsely sampled signals by a stochastic process with a broad range of spatial and/or temporal scales. To this end, we extend the notion of a fractional Brownian bridge, defined as fractional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-05 J. Friedrich , S. Gallon , A. Pumir , R. Grauer

We study the law of the minimum of a Brownian bridge, conditioned to take specific values at specific points, and the law of the location of the minimum. They are used to compare some non-adaptive optimisation algorithms for black-box…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Aureli Alabert , Ricard Caballero

Motivated by a biased diffusion of molecular motors with the bias dependent on the state of the substrate, we investigate a random walk on a one-dimensional lattice that contains weak links (called "bridges'') which are affected by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 T. Antal , P. L. Krapivsky

Nonintersecting Brownian bridges on the unit circle form a determinantal stochastic process exhibiting random matrix statistics for large numbers of walkers. We investigate the effect of adding a drift term to walkers on the circle…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Robert Buckingham , Karl Liechty