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We provide some asymptotic theory for the largest eigenvalues of a sample covariance matrix of a p-dimensional time series where the dimension p = p_n converges to infinity when the sample size n increases. We give a short overview of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Richard Davis , Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch , Xiaolei Xie

Let $Z_1,\ldots,Z_n$ be i.i.d. isotropic random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^p$, and $T \subset \mathbb{R}^p$ be a compact set. A classical line of empirical process theory characterizes the size of the suprema of the quadratic process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Qiyang Han

The tail correlation function (TCF) is one of the most popular bivariate extremal dependence measures that has entered the literature under various names. We study to what extent the TCF can distinguish between different classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-20 Kirstin Strokorb , Felix Ballani , Martin Schlather

This paper derives new maximal inequalities for empirical processes associated with separately exchangeable random arrays. For fixed index dimension $K\ge 1$, we establish a global maximal inequality bounding the $q$-th moment…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-12 Harold D. Chiang

Suprema of random processes appear naturally in a plethora of disciplines, and Talagrand's majorizing theorem yields a geometric interpretation for them: for a centered Gaussian random process $(X_t)_{t \in T},$ $\mathbb{E}[\sup_{t \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Simona Diaconu

A classical scenario for tipping is that a dynamical system experiences a slow parameter drift across a fold tipping point, caused by a run-away positive feedback loop. We study what happens if one turns around after one has crossed the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-21 Paul Ritchie , Ozkan Karabacak , Jan Sieber

We study the asymptotic behavior of empirical processes generated by measurable bounded functions of an infinite source Poisson transmission process when the session length have infinite variance. In spite of the boundedness of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-11 François Roueff , Gennady Samorodnitsky , Philippe Soulier

This paper develops a set of test statistics based on bilinear forms in the context of the extremum estimation framework with particular interest in nonlinear hypothesis. We show that the proposed statistic converges to a conventional…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-10 Federico Crudu , Felipe Osorio

The goal of this paper is two-fold: 1. We review classical and recent measures of serial extremal dependence in a strictly stationary time series as well as their estimation. 2. We discuss recent concepts of heavy-tailed time series,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Richard A. Davis , Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao

The transition probability of a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process can be represented by a non-central chi-square density. First we prove a new representation for the central chi-square density based on sums of powers of generalized Gaussian random…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-03 Simon J. A. Malham , Anke Wiese

We consider the winding number of planar stationary Gaussian processes defined on the line. Under mild conditions, we obtain the asymptotic variance and the Central Limit Theorem for the winding number as the time horizon tends to infinity.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-16 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Federico Dalmao , José R. León

We discuss several examples of point processes (all taken from Hough, Krishnapur, Peres, Vir\'ag (2009)) for which the autocorrelation and diffraction measures can be calculated explicitly. These include certain classes of determinantal and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-07-22 Michael Baake , Holger Kösters , Robert V. Moody

The risk of catastrophes is related to the possibility of occurring extreme values. Several statistical methodologies have been developed in order to evaluate the propensity of a process for the occurrence of high values and the permanence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-08 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

We introduce a new type of estimator for the spectral tail process of a regularly varying time series. The approach is based on a characterizing invariance property of the spectral tail process, which is incorporated into the new estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Holger Drees , Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung

In this paper we provide an upper bound for the conjunction probability of independent Gaussian smooth processes and then we prove that this bound is a good approximation with exponentially smaller error. Our result confirms the heuristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Viet-Hung Pham

For every $n\in\N$, let $X_{1n},..., X_{nn}$ be independent copies of a zero-mean Gaussian process $X_n=\{X_n(t), t\in T\}$. We describe all processes which can be obtained as limits, as $n\to\infty$, of the process $a_n(M_n-b_n)$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Zakhar Kabluchko

The angular bispectrum of spherical random fields has recently gained an enormous importance, especially in connection with statistical inference on cosmological data. In this paper, we provide expressions for its moments of arbitrary order…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-05 D. Marinucci

For a stochastic process $\{X_t\}_{t \in T}$ with identical one-dimensional margins and upper endpoint $\tau_{\text{up}}$ its tail correlation function (TCF) is defined through $\chi^{(X)}(s,t) = \lim_{\tau \to \tau_{\text{up}}} P(X_s >…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Ulf-Rainer Fiebig , Kirstin Strokorb , Martin Schlather

We develop a novel Monte Carlo algorithm for the vector consisting of the supremum, the time at which the supremum is attained and the position at a given (constant) time of an exponentially tempered L\'evy process. The algorithm, based on…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-20 Jorge Ignacio González Cázares , Aleksandar Mijatović

In this paper we discuss the question how to bound supremum of a stochastic process with the index set of a product type. There is a tempting idea to approach the question by the analysis of the process on each of the marginal index spaces…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Witold Bednorz