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In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of supremum distribution of some classes of iterated stochastic processes $\{X(Y(t)) : t \in [0, \infty)\}$, where $\{X(t) : t \in \mathbb{R} \}$ is a centered Gaussian process and $\{Y(t): t…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Marek Arendarczyk

We investigate the long-time asymptotic behavior of various entropy measures associated with the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) and squared Bessel processes. As the one-dimensional distributions of both processes follow noncentral chi-squared…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Ivan Kucha , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

In this paper we study the large deviations of time averaged mean square displacement (TAMSD) for Gaussian processes. The theory of large deviations is related to the exponential decay of probabilities of large fluctuations in random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-29 J. Gajda , A. Wylomanska , H. Kantz , A. V. Chechkin , G. Sikora

We review some recent development in the theory of spatial extremes related to Pareto Processes and modeling of threshold exceedances. We provide theoretical background, methodology for modeling, simulation and inference as well as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Clement Dombry , Juliette Legrand , Thomas Opitz

We consider stationary configurations of points in Euclidean space which are marked by positive random variables called scores. The scores are allowed to depend on the relative positions of other points and outside sources of randomness.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Bojan Basrak , Ilya Molchanov , Hrvoje Planinić

Non-stationary time series with non-linear trends are frequently encountered in applications. We consider here the feasibility of accurately forecasting the signals of multiple such time series considering jointly when the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-05 Kerry Fendick

In this work, we deal with extreme value theory in the context of continued fractions using techniques from probability theory, ergodic theory and real analysis. We give an upper bound for the rate of convergence in the Doeblin-Iosifescu…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Anish Ghosh , Maxim Kirsebom , Parthanil Roy

The extremal behaviour of a Markov chain is typically characterized by its tail chain. For asymptotically dependent Markov chains existing formulations fail to capture the full evolution of the extreme event when the chain moves out of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Kirstin Strokorb , Jonathan A. Tawn , Adam Butler

We consider a continuous time process that is self-exciting and ergodic, called threshold Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders (CKLS) process. This process is a generalization of various models in econometrics, such as Vasicek model,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Sara Mazzonetto , Benoît Nieto

We investigate maxima of linear processes with i.i.d. heavy-tailed innovations and random coefficients. Using the point process approach we derive functional convergence of the partial maxima stochastic process in the space of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Danijel Krizmanić

We study the convergence rate of moment-sum-of-squares hierarchies of semidefinite programs for optimal control problems with polynomial data. It is known that these hierarchies generate polynomial under-approximations to the value function…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-12 Milan Korda , Didier Henrion , Colin N. Jones

This contribution investigates asymptotic properties of transient queue length process $$ Q(t)=\max\left(x+X(t)-ct, \sup_{0\leq s\leq t}\left(X(t)-X(s)-c(t-s)\right)\right),\ \ \ t\geq 0 $$ in Gaussian fluid queueing model, where input…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Krzysztof Debicki , Peng Liu

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

We discuss the method of bounding suprema of canonical processes based on the inclusion of their index set into a convex hull of a well-controlled set of points. While the upper bound is immediate, the reverse estimate was established to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Rafał Latała

When a spatial process is recorded over time and the observation at a given time instant is viewed as a point in a function space, the result is a time series taking values in a Banach space. To study the spatio-temporal extremal dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Thomas Meinguet , Johan Segers

Consider a critical Galton-Watson process Z={Z_n: n=0,1,...} of index 1+alpha, alpha in (0,1]. Let S_k(j) denote the sum of the Z_n with n in the window [k,...,k+j), and M_m(j) the maximum of the S_k with k moving in [0,m-j]. We describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Klaus Fleischmann , Vladimir A. Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

Max-stable processes have proved to be useful for the statistical modelling of spatial extremes. Several representations of max-stable random fields have been proposed in the literature. For statistical inference it is often assumed that…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-25 Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

In this paper we derive a new direct inversion method to simulate squared Bessel processes. Since the transition probability of these processes can be represented by a non-central chi-square distribution, we construct an efficient and…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-24 Simon J. A. Malham , Anke Wiese , Yifan Xu

Aggregation patterns are often visually detected in sets of location data. These clusters may be the result of interesting dynamics or the effect of pure randomness. We build an asymptotically Gaussian test for the hypothesis of randomness…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-09 Gabriel Lang , Eric Marcon
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