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We study the empirical process indexed by F^2=\{f^2 : f \in F\}, where F is a class of mean-zero functions on a probability space. We present a sharp bound on the supremum of that process which depends on the \psi_1 diameter of the class F…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2010-05-06 Shahar Mendelson

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a stationary process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $ C_{r,T,u}:= \{t\in [0,T]: X_{r:n}(t) > u\}$ with $X_{r:n}(t)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Chengxiu Ling

Factor models have large potencial in the modeling of several natural and human phenomena. In this paper we consider a multivariate time series $\mb{Y}_n$, ${n\geq 1}$, rescaled through random factors $\mb{T}_n$, ${n\geq 1}$, extending some…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-18 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

We analyze the largest eigenvalue statistics of m-dependent heavy-tailed Wigner matrices as well as the associated sample covariance matrices having entry-wise regularly varying tail distributions with parameter $0<\alpha<4$. Our analysis…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Bojan Basrak , Yeonok Cho , Johannes Heiny , Paul Jung

The classical modeling of spatial extremes relies on asymptotic models (i.e., max-stable processes or $r$-Pareto processes) for block maxima or peaks over high thresholds, respectively. However, at finite levels, empirical evidence often…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-15 Raphaël Huser , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

We show that the maximizing point and the supremum of the standardized uniform empirical process converge in distribution. Here, the limit variable (Z, Y ) has independent components. Moreover, Z attains the values zero and one with equal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Dietmar Ferger

Consider a realization of a Poisson process in R^2 with intensity 1 and take a maximal up/right path from the origin to (N,N) consisting of line segments between the points, where maximal means that it contains as many points as possible.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Kurt Johansson

Consider $n$ i.i.d. random elements on $C[0,1]$. We show that, under an appropriate strengthening of the domain of attraction condition, natural estimators of the extreme-value index, which is now a continuous function, and the normalizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 John H. J. Einmahl , Tao Lin

The asymptotic distribution of the score test of the null hypothesis that marks do not impact the intensity of a Hawkes marked self-exciting point process is shown to be chi-squared. For local asymptotic power, the distribution against…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Simon Clinet , William T. M. Dunsmuir , Gareth W. Peters , Kylie-Anne Richards

This paper is a continuation of our previous research on quadratic harnesses, that is, processes with linear regressions and quadratic conditional variances. Our main result is a construction of a Markov process from given orthogonal and…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Włodzimierz Bryc , Wojciech Matysiak , Jacek Wesołowski

In this paper we first provide several conditional limit theorems for L\'evy processes with negative drift and regularly varying tail. Then we apply them to study the asymptotic behavior of expectations of some exponential functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Wei Xu

In this work we derive limit theorems for trawl processes. First,we study the asymptotic behaviour of the partial sums of the discretized trawl process $(X_{i\Delta_{n}})_{i=0}^{\lfloor nt\rfloor-1}$, under the assumption that as…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-17 Mikko S. Pakkanen , Riccardo Passeggeri , Orimar Sauri , Almut E. D. Veraart

Let $X_{i,n},n\in \mathbb{N},1\leq i\leq n$, be a triangular array of independent $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued Gaussian random vectors with correlation matrices $\Sigma_{i,n}$. We give necessary conditions under which the row-wise maxima converge…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather

We study the tail asymptotics of two functionals (the maximum and the sum of the marks) of a generic cluster in two sub-models of the marked Poisson cluster process, namely the renewal Poisson cluster process and the Hawkes process. Under…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Fabien Baeriswyl , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Olivier Wintenberger

The seminal papers of Pickands [1,2] paved the way for a systematic study of high exceedance probabilities of both stationary and non-stationary Gaussian processes. Yet, in the vector-valued setting, due to the lack of key tools including…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Longmin Wang

Models for extreme values are generally derived from limit results, which are meant to be good enough approximations when applied to finite samples. Depending on the speed of convergence of the process underlying the data, these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

Nonparametric modeling approaches show very promising results in the area of system identification and control. A naturally provided model confidence is highly relevant for system-theoretical considerations to provide guarantees for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

Given a bounded class of functions G and independent random variables X1, . . . , Xn, we provide an upper bound for the expectation of the supremum of the empirical process over elements of G having a small variance. Our bound applies in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Yannick Baraud

It is shown how the central limit theorem for U-statistics of spatial Poisson point processes can help to derive the central limit theorem for U-statistics of a Gibbs facet process from stochastic geometry. A full-dimensional submodel…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Jakub Vecera , Viktor Benes