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The hierarchical Dirichlet process is a discrete random measure used as a prior in Bayesian nonparametrics and motivated by the study of groups of clustered data. We study the asymptotic behavior of the power sum symmetric polynomials for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Shui Feng , J. E. Paguyo

We derive strong approximations to the supremum of the non-centered empirical process indexed by a possibly unbounded VC-type class of functions by the suprema of the Gaussian and bootstrap processes. The bounds of these approximations are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

In recent years, tensors have been applied to different applications in science and engineering fields. In order to establish theory about tail bounds of the tensors summation behavior, this work extends previous work by considering the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Shih Yu Chang

We introduce a novel edge tracing algorithm using Gaussian process regression. Our edge-based segmentation algorithm models an edge of interest using Gaussian process regression and iteratively searches the image for edge pixels in a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Jamie Burke , Stuart King

We study the asymptotic edge statistics of the Gaussian $\beta$-ensemble, a collection of $n$ particles, as the inverse temperature $\beta$ tends to zero as $n$ tends to infinity. In a certain decay regime of $\beta$, the associated extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-29 Cambyse Pakzad

In this paper, we study non-asymptotic deviation bounds of the least squares estimator in Gaussian AR($n$) processes. By relying on martingale concentration inequalities and a tail-bound for $\chi^2$ distributed variables, we provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

As a first step toward a characterization of the limiting extremal process of branching Brownian motion, we proved in a recent work [Comm. Pure Appl. Math. 64 (2011) 1647-1676] that, in the limit of large time $t$, extremal particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

As a useful and elegant tool of extreme value theory, the study of point processes on a metric space is important and necessary for the analyses of heavy-tailed functional data. This paper focuses on the definition and properties of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-24 Yuwei Zhao

We prove tail estimates for variables $\sum_i f(X_i)$, where $(X_i)_i$ is the trajectory of a random walk on an undirected graph (or, equivalently, a reversible Markov chain). The estimates are in terms of the maximum of the function $f$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-25 Roy Wagner

Higher criticism is a large-scale testing procedure that can attain the optimal detection boundary for sparse and faint signals. However, there has been a lack of knowledge in most existing works about its asymptotic distribution for more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Jingkun Qiu

The quantitative analysis of financial time series often reveals two distinct features that standard Gaussian frameworks fail to capture: heavy-tailed marginal distributions and the phenomenon of extreme co-movements.While extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Debanjana Datta , Diganta Mukherjee

Layered stable (multivariate) distributions and processes are defined and studied. A layered stable process combines stable trends of two different indices, one of them possibly Gaussian. More precisely, in short time, it is close to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-11 C. Houdré , R. Kawai

This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior (at zero and at infinity) of the favorite points of L\'evy processes. By exploring Molchan's idea for deriving lower tail probabilities of Gaussian processes with stationary increments, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-09 Bo Li , Yimin Xiao , Xiaochuan Yang

This study explores contagion in the Chinese stock market using Hawkes processes to analyze autocorrelation and cross-correlation in multivariate time series data. We examine whether market indices exhibit trending behavior and whether…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-10 Junwei Yang

We study the high excursion probability of a centered Gaussian field on a square. Writing \(\sigma\) and \(r\) for its standard deviation and correlation function, we assume that \(\sigma\) has a unique maximum at the corner…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Svyatoslav Novikov

In order to obtain functional limit theorems for heavy tailed stationary processes arising from dynamical systems, one needs to understand the clustering patterns of the tail observations of the process. These patterns are well described by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Raquel Couto

The asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes has been subject to intensive investigation. However, this asymptotic analysis is very scarce for non-Gaussian processes. In this paper, we study a class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 François Bachoc , José Bétancourt , Reinhard Furrer , Thierry Klein

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

We consider empirical multi-dimensional Rare Events Point Processes that keep track both of the time occurrence of extremal observations and of their severity, for stochastic processes arising from a dynamical system, by evaluating a given…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mário Magalhães

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn