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Extremes of Gaussian fields with a product term in the variance

Probability 2026-05-22 v1

Abstract

We study the high excursion probability of a centered Gaussian field on a square. Writing σ\sigma and rr for its standard deviation and correlation function, we assume that σ\sigma has a unique maximum at the corner 0=(0,0)\boldsymbol{0}=(0,0) and 1σ(t)t1β+t2β+t1at2a,t=(t1,t2)0 1-\sigma(\boldsymbol{t}) \sim t_1^\beta+t_2^\beta+t_1^a t_2^a , \qquad \boldsymbol{t}=(t_1,t_2)\to\boldsymbol{0} in R+2\mathbb R_+^2. The local correlation is assumed to satisfy 1r(t,s)t1s1α+t2s2α,0<α<β. 1-r(\boldsymbol{t},\boldsymbol{s})\sim |t_1-s_1|^\alpha+|t_2-s_2|^\alpha, \qquad 0<\alpha<\beta . This product form of the standard-deviation loss is not covered by the usual locally additive assumptions. In the range a<β/2a<\beta/2, the classical essential rectangle at the variance-loss scale no longer captures the leading contribution; the relevant localization becomes side-attached and, in one regime, effectively one-dimensional. We determine the corresponding high-level asymptotics, including the logarithmic and side-dominated regimes which do not arise in the locally additive case.

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Cite

@article{arxiv.2605.22760,
  title  = {Extremes of Gaussian fields with a product term in the variance},
  author = {Svyatoslav Novikov},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.22760},
  year   = {2026}
}

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16 pages