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We consider point process convergence for sequences of iid random walks. The objective is to derive asymptotic theory for the largest extremes of these random walks. We show convergence of the maximum random walk to the Gumbel or the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Thomas Mikosch , Jorge Yslas

In extreme value statistics, the peaks-over-threshold method is widely used. The method is based on the generalized Pareto distribution characterizing probabilities of exceedances over high thresholds in $\mathbb {R}^d$. We present a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan

Over the last 30 years, extensive work has been devoted to developing central limit theory for partial sums of subordinated long memory linear time series. A much less studied problem, motivated by questions that are ubiquitous in extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Ioan Scheffel , Marco Oesting , Gilles Stupfler

We derive, up to a constant factor, matching lower and upper bounds on the concentration functions of suprema of separable centered Gaussian processes and order statistics of Gaussian random fields. These bounds reveal that suprema of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Alexander Giessing

We derive high-resolution upper bounds for optimal product quantization of pathwise contionuous Gaussian processes respective to the supremum norm on [0,T]^d. Moreover, we describe a product quantization design which attains this bound.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-03 Harald Luschgy , Gilles Pagès

We present a very general chaining method which allows one to control the supremum of the empirical process $\sup_{h \in H} |N^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^N h^2(X_i)-\E h^2|$ in rather general situations. We use this method to establish two main…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-22 Shahar Mendelson , Grigoris Paouris

We prove new lower bounds for the upper tail probabilities of suprema of Gaussian processes. Unlike many existing bounds, our results are not asymptotic, but supply strong information when one is only a little into the upper tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-25 Adam J. Harper

We study the upper tail of the number of arithmetic progressions of a given length in a random subset of {1,...,n}, establishing exponential bounds which are best possible up to constant factors in the exponent. The proof also extends to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Lutz Warnke

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

For a centered $d$-dimensional Gaussian random vector $\xi =(\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_d)$ and a homogeneous function $h:R^d\to R$ we derive asymptotic expansions for the tail of the Gaussian chaos $h(\xi)$ given the function $h$ is sufficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Enkelejd Hashorva , Dmitry Korshunov , Vladimir I. Piterbarg

Under K.-T. Sturm's formulation, we obtain a Gaussian upper bound for tail probability of mean value of independent, identically distributed random variables with values in $\mathbb{R}$-trees and Hadamard manifolds.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-04 Kei Funano

We describe the behavior of the expectation of the maximum for a random assignment process built upon a square matrix with independent entries. Under mild assumptions on the underlying distribution, the answer is expressed in terms of its…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-28 Mikhail Lifshits , Arman Tadevosian

We consider both the infinite-volume discrete Gaussian Free Field (DGFF) and the DGFF with zero boundary conditions outside a finite box in dimension larger or equal to 3. We show that the associated extremal process converges to a Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-21 Alberto Chiarini , Alessandra Cipriani , Rajat Subhra Hazra

Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

Two--sided bounds are constructed for a probability density function of a weighted sum of chi-square variables. Both cases of central and non-central chi-square variables are considered. The upper and lower bounds have the same dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Sergey G. Bobkov , Alexey A. Naumov , Vladimir V. Ulyanov

In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the point process of exceedances in a spatio-temporal setting whose points are given by the rescaled occurrence times, the sites and the rescaled values of exceedances. Here, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Carolin Forster , Marco Oesting

In many contexts such as queuing theory, spatial statistics, geostatistics and meteorology, data are observed at irregular spatial positions. One model of this situation involves considering the observation points as generated by a Poisson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-07 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

The convergence of a sequence of point processes with dependent points, defined by a symmetric function of iid high-dimensional random vectors, to a Poisson random measure is proved. This also implies the convergence of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Johannes Heiny , Carolin Kleemann

We consider a branching stable process with positive jumps, i.e. a continuous-time branching process in which the particles evolve independently as stable L{\'e}vy processes with positive jumps. Assuming the branching mechanism is critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Christophe Profeta

There is a vast theory of Chebyshev and residual polynomials and their asymptotic behavior. The former ones maximize the leading coefficient and the latter ones maximize the point evaluation with respect to an $L^\infty$ norm. We study…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-01-07 Benjamin Eichinger , Milivoje Lukić , Giorgio Young
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