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When an advantageous mutation occurs in a population, the favorable allele may spread to the entire population in a short time, an event known as a selective sweep. As a result, when we sample $n$ individuals from a population and trace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rick Durrett , Jason Schweinsberg

In this paper we consider coalescing random walks on a general connected graph $G=(V,E)$. We set up a unified framework to study the leading order of the decay rate of $P_t$, the expectation of the fraction of occupied sites at time $t$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Jonathan Hermon , Shuangping Li , Dong Yao , Lingfu Zhang

Multiple-merger coalescents, e.g. $\Lambda$-$n$-coalescents, have been proposed as models of the genealogy of $n$ sampled individuals for a range of populations whose genealogical structures are not captured well by Kingman's…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-19 Fabian Freund

We consider a single genetic locus which carries two alleles, labelled P and Q. This locus experiences selection and mutation. It is linked to a second neutral locus with recombination rate r. If r=0, this reduces to the study of a single…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 N. H. Barton , A. M. Etheridge , A. K. Sturm

The Galton-Watson process is a model for population growth which assumes that individuals reproduce independently according to the same offspring distribution. Inference usually focuses on the offspring average as it allows to classify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Massimo Cannas , Michele Guindani , Nicola Piras

In a (two-type) Wright-Fisher diffusion with directional selection and two-way mutation, let $x$ denote today's frequency of the beneficial type, and given $x$, let $h(x)$ be the probability that, among all individuals of today's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-10 Ute Lenz , Sandra Kluth , Ellen Baake , Anton Wakolbinger

We consider a random walk on a Galton-Watson tree whose offspring distribution has a regular varying tail of order $\kappa\in (1,2)$. We prove the convergence of the renormalised height function of the walk towards the continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Dongjian Qian , Yang Xiao

In a coalescing random walk, a set of particles make independent random walks on a graph. Whenever one or more particles meet at a vertex, they unite to form a single particle, which then continues the random walk through the graph.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Colin Cooper , Robert Elsasser , Hirotaka Ono , Tomasz Radzik

In this work, we study asymptotics of the genealogy of Galton--Watson processes conditioned on the total progeny. We consider a fixed, aperiodic and critical offspring distribution such that the rescaled Galton--Watson processes converges…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Duquesne

In this work we describe a new model for the evolution of a diploid structured population backwards in time that allows for large migrations and uneven offspring distributions. The model generalizes both the mean-field model of Birkner et…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Maximillian Newman

We introduce and analyse a class of fragmentation-coalescence processes defined on finite systems of particles organised into clusters. Coalescent events merge multiple clusters simultaneously to form a single larger cluster, while…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Steven W. Pagett , Tim Rogers

We dedicate this paper to Sir John Kingman on his 70th Birthday. In modern mathematical population genetics the ancestral history of a population of genes back in time is described by John Kingman's coalescent tree. Classical and modern…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-25 Robert C. Griffiths , Dario Spano`

Critical branching processes in a varying environment behave much the same as critical Galton-Watson processes. In this note we like to confirm this finding with regard to the underlying genealogical structures. In particular, we consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Götz Kersting

Consider a branching Markov process with values in some general type space. Conditional on survival up to generation $N$, the genealogy of the extant population defines a random marked metric measure space, where individuals are marked by…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

A properly scaled critical Galton-Watson process converges to a continuous state critical branching process $\xi(\cdot)$ as the number of initial individuals tends to infinity. We extend this classical result by allowing for overlapping…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Serik Sagitov

For a class of Gaussian stationary processes, we prove a limit theorem on the convergence of the distributions of the scaled last exit time over a slowly growing linear boundary. The limit is a double exponential (Gumbel) distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Nikita Karagodin , Mikhail Lifshits

The goal of this paper is to prove rigorous results for the behavior of genealogies in a one-dimensional long range biased voter model introduced by Hallatschek and Nelson [25]. The first step, which is easily accomplished using results of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Rick Durrett , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

We discuss approximations of the relative limit densities of descendants in Galton--Watson processes that follow from the Karlin--McGregor near-constancy phenomena. These approximations are based on the fast exponentially decaying Fourier…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Anton A Kutsenko

We consider a null-recurrent randomly biased walk $\mathbb{X}$ on a Galton-Watson tree in the (sub)-diffusive regime and we prove that properly renormalized, the local time in a critical generation converges in law towards some function of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Alexis Kagan

Longitudinal molecular data of rapidly evolving viruses and pathogens provide information about disease spread and complement traditional surveillance approaches based on case count data. The coalescent is used to model the genealogy that…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-07 Lorenzo Cappello , Julia A. Palacios
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