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The nested Kingman coalescent describes the ancestral tree of a population undergoing neutral evolution at the level of individuals and at the level of species, simultaneously. We study the speed at which the number of lineages descends…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Airam Blancas Benítez , Tim Rogers , Jason Schweinsberg , Arno Siri-Jégousse

Consider N particles moving independently, each one according to a subcritical continuous-time Galton-Watson process unless it hits 0, at which time it jumps instantaneously to the position of one of the other particles chosen uniformly at…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-28 Amine Asselah , Pablo A. Ferrari , Pablo Groisman , Matthieu Jonckheere

Study sample sizes in human genetics are growing rapidly, and in due course it will become routine to analyze samples with hundreds of thousands if not millions of individuals. In addition to posing computational challenges, such large…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-24 Anand Bhaskar , Andrew G. Clark , Yun S. Song

We consider the genealogical tree of a stationary continuous state branching process with immigration. For a sub-critical stable branching mechanism, we consider the genealogical tree of the extant population at some fixed time and prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Romain Abraham , Jean-François Delmas , Hui He

Sweepstakes reproduction may be generated by chance matching of reproduction with favorable environmental conditions. Gene genealogies generated by sweepstakes reproduction are in the domain of attraction of multiple-merger coalescents…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Bjarki Eldon

We present a coalescent process where three particles merge at each coagulation step. Using a random walk representation, we prove duality with a fragmentation process, whose fragmentation law we specify explicitly. Furthermore, we give a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Erich Baur

Consider a random walk in random environment on a supercritical Galton--Watson tree, and let $\tau_n$ be the hitting time of generation $n$. The paper presents a large deviation principle for $\tau_n/n$, both in quenched and annealed cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-11 Elie Aidekon

Human longevity leaders with remarkably long lifespan play a crucial role in the advancement of longevity research. In this paper, we propose a stochastic model to describe the evolution of the age of the oldest person in the world by a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-06 Csaba Kiss , László Németh , Bálint Vető

This article shows the asymptotics of distribution and moments of the size $X_n$ of the minimal clade of a randomly chosen individual in a Bolthausen-Sznitman $n$-coalescent for $n\to\infty$. The Bolthausen-Sznitman $n$-coalescent is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-07 Fabian Freund , Arno Siri-Jégousse

In this paper we study random partitions of 1,...n, where every cluster of size j can be in any of w\_j possible internal states. The Gibbs (n,k,w) distribution is obtained by sampling uniformly among such partitions with k clusters. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nathanael Berestycki , Jim Pitman

We establish estimates for the coalescence time of semi-infinite directed geodesics in the planar corner growth model with i.i.d. exponential weights. There are four estimates: upper and lower bounds on the probabilities of both fast and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Timo Seppäläinen , Xiao Shen

We study properties of the \textit{continuum seed-bank coalescent} proposed by \cite{jiao2023wright} such as \textit{not coming down from infinity} and \textit{bounds on the expected time to the most recent common ancestor}. We also provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Likai Jiao

We present two iterative methods for computing the global and partial extinction probability vectors for Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. The probabilistic interpretation of these methods involves truncated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche , Giang Nguyen

Population genetic processes, such as the adaptation of a quantitative trait to directional selection, may occur on longer time scales than the sweep of a single advantageous mutation. To study such processes in finite populations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Reinhard Bürger

We introduce a colored coalescent process which recovers random colored genealogical trees. Here a colored genealogical tree has its vertices colored black or white. Moving backward along the colored genealogical tree, the color of vertices…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

We present a genealogy for superprocesses with a non-homogeneous quadratic branching mechanism, relying on a weighted version of the superprocess and a Girsanov theorem. We then decompose this genealogy with respect to the last individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-21 Jean-Francois Delmas , Olivier Hénard

We introduce a general diploid population model with self-fertilization and possible overlapping generations, and study the genealogy of a sample of $n$ genes as the population size $N$ tends to infinity. Unlike traditional approach in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Louis Wai-Tong Fan , Maximillian Newman , John Wakeley

Ancestral inference for branching processes in random environments involves determining the ancestor distribution parameters using the population sizes of descendant generations. In this paper, we introduce a new methodology for ancestral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Xiaoran Jiang , Anand N. Vidyashankar

This paper studies the spatial coalescent on $\Z^2$. In our setting, the partition elements are located at the sites of $\Z^2$ and undergo local delayed coalescence and migration. That is, pairs of partition elements located at the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-07 Andreas Greven , Vlada Limic , Anita Winter

We define a multi-type coalescent point process of a general branching process with finitely many types. This multi-type coalescent fully describes the genealogy of the (quasi-stationary) standing population, providing types along ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Lea Popovic , Mariolys Rivas