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We consider the problem of estimating the elapsed time since the most recent common ancestor of a finite random sample drawn from a population which has evolved through a Bienayme-Galton-Watson branching process. More specifically, we are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-04 Conrad J. Burden , Albert C. Soewongsono

Coalescence processes have received a lot of attention in the context of conditional branching processes with fixed population size and non-overlapping generations. Here we focus on similar problems in the context of the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

Consider a population evolving as a discrete-time supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson process. Suppose we run the process for $T$ generations, then sample $k$ individuals uniformly at generation $T$ and trace their genealogy backwards…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Janique Krasnowska , Paul Jenkins , Adam Johansen

In this article, we focus on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson processes with linear-fractional offspring distributions. At a fixed generation, we consider a sample of the individuals alive, drawn in two different ways: either through Bernoulli…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

Take a continuous-time Galton-Watson tree. If the system survives until a large time $T$, then choose $k$ particles uniformly from those alive. What does the ancestral tree drawn out by these $k$ particles look like? Some special cases are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-14 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Matthew I. Roberts

We define and analyze a coalescent process as a recursive box-filling process whose genealogy is given by an ancestral time-reversed, time-inhomogeneous Bienyam\'{e}-Galton-Watson process. Special interest is on the expected size of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

In this paper, we consider Galton-Watson processes with immigration. Pick $i(\ge2)$ individuals randomly without replacement from the $n$-th generation and trace their lines of descent back in time till they coalesce into $1$ individual in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-25 Hua-Ming Wang , Lulu Li , Huizi Yao

We study the genealogy of a sample of $k$ individuals taken uniformly without replacement from a continuous-time multitype Bienaym\'e--Galton--Watson process at fixed times. Our results are quite general, requiring only that the process be…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Osvaldo Angtuncio Hernández , Juan Carlos Pardo , Simon C. Harris

Let $X^I_n$ be the coalescence time of two particles picked at random from the $n$th generation of a critical Galton-Watson process with immigration, and let $A^I_n$ be the coalescence time of the whole population in the $n$th generation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Rong-Li Liu , Yan-Xia Ren , Yingrui Wang

We study the genealogies of samples of $k$ distinguished particles drawn from the population alive at some fixed time in a continuous-time multitype Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson (MBGW) process under two different type dependent sampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Osvaldo Angtuncio Hernández , Simon C. Harris , Juan Carlos Pardo

Consider a population evolving as a critical continuous-time Galton-Watson (GW) tree. Conditional on the population surviving until a large time $T$, sample $k$ individuals uniformly at random (without replacement) from amongst those alive…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Juan Carlos Pardo

We define a doubly infinite, monotone labeling of Bienayme-Galton-Watson (BGW) genealogies. The genealogy of the current generation backwards in time is uniquely determined by the coalescent point process $(A_i; i\ge 1)$, where $A_i$ is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Amaury Lambert , Lea Popovic

Cheek and Johnston (Journal of Mathematical Biology, 2023) consider a continuous-time Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson tree conditioned on being alive at time $T$. They study the reproduction events along the ancestral lineage of an individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Jan Lukas Igelbrink , Jasper Ischebeck

Consider a haploid population which has evolved through an exchangeable reproduction dynamics, and in which all individuals alive at time $t$ have a most recent common ancestor (MRCA) who lived at time $A_t$, say. As time goes on, not only…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Pfaffelhuber , A. Wakolbinger

Consider an arbitrary large population at the present time, originated at an unspecified arbitrary large time in the past, where individuals in the same generation reproduce independently, forward in time, with the same offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Airam Blancas , Sandra Palau

We investigate the genealogy of a sample of $k\geq1$ particles chosen uniformly without replacement from a population alive at large times in a critical discrete-time Galton-Watson process in a varying environment (GWVE). We will show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Simon C. Harris , Sandra Palau , Juan Carlos Pardo

Consider a continuous-state branching population constructed as a flow of nested subordinators. Inverting the subordinators and reversing time give rise to a flow of coalescing Markov processes (with negative jumps) which correspond to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Clément Foucart , Chunhua Ma , Bastien Mallein

We study a linear-fractional Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process with a general type space. The corresponding tree contour process is described by an alternating random walk with the downward jumps having a geometric distribution. This leads…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-07 Alexey Lindo , Serik Sagitov

Consider a population of fixed size that evolves over time. At each time, the genealogical structure of the population can be described by a coalescent tree whose branches are traced back to the most recent common ancestor of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-14 Jason Schweinsberg

We consider the range $R^{(n)}$, the tree made up of visited vertices by a diffusive null-recurrent randomly biased walk $\mathbb{X}$ on a Galton-Watson tree $\mathbb{T}$ up to the $n$-th return time to its root and we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Alexis Kagan
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