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We consider the set of random Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees with a bounded number of offspring and bounded number of generations as a statistical mechanics model: a random tree is a rooted subtree of the maximal tree; the spin at a given…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-10-26 Francois Dunlop , Arif Mardin

We define a Markov process on the partitions of $[n]=\{1,\ldots,n\}$ by drawing a sample in $[n]$ at each time of a Poisson process, by merging blocks that contain one of these points and by leaving all other blocks unchanged. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Sophie Lemaire

We investigate the range $\mathcal{R}_T$ of the diffusive biased walk $\mathbb{X}$ on a Galton-Watson tree $\mathbb{T}$ in random environment, that is to say the sub-tree of $\mathbb{T}$ of all distinct vertices visited by this walk up to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Alexis Kagan

We examine the distributional properties of a Feller diffusion $(X(\tau))_{\tau \in [0, t]}$ conditioned on the current population $X(t)$ having a single ancestor at time zero. The approach is novel and is based on an interpretation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Conrad J. Burden , Robert C. Griffiths

We consider a multitype Galton-Watson process that allows for the mutation and reversion of individual types in discrete and continuous time. In this setting, we explicitly compute the time evolution of quantities such as the mean and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-01 Qiao Huang , Nicolas Privault

We study the local limit in distribution of Bienaym{\'e}-Galton-Watson trees conditioned on having large sub-populations. Assuming a generic and aperiodic condition on the offspring distribution, we prove the existence of a limit given by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-30 Romain Abraham , Hongwei Bi , Jean-François Delmas

Kingman Coalescent was first proposed by Kingman [7] in population genetics to describe population's genealogical structure. Now it becomes a bench-mark model for coalescent process. Extensive studies have been conducted on Kingman…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Youzhou Zhou

We revisit the spatial ${\lambda}$-Fleming-Viot process introduced in [1]. Particularly, we are interested in the time $T_0$ to the most recent common ancestor for two lineages. We distinguish between the case where the process acts on the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-14 Johannes Wirtz , Stéphane Guindon

Consider two ancestral lineages sampled from a system of two-dimensional branching random walks with logistic regulation in the stationary regime. We study the asymptotics of their coalescence time for large initial separation and find that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Matthias Birkner , Andrej Depperschmidt , Timo Schlüter

The simple Galton--Watson process describes populations where individuals live one season and are then replaced by a random number of children. It can also be viewed as a way of generating random trees, each vertex being an individual of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-17 Peter Jagers , Serik Sagitov

In this paper we prove a duality relation between coalescence times and exit points in last-passage percolation models with exponential weights. As a consequence, we get lower bounds for coalescence times with scaling exponent 3/2, and we…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Leandro P. R. Pimentel

We derive an upper bound for the annealed return probability for the simple random walk on supercritical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees. The bound decays subexponentially in time $t$ with $t^{1/3}$ in the exponent. It is valid for all…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Markus Heydenreich , Peter Müller , Sara Terveer

The aim of this lecture is to give an overview of old and new resultson Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson (BGW) trees. After introducing the framework of discretetrees, we first give alternative proofs of classical results on theextinction…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-19 Romain Abraham , Jean-François Delmas

The transition distribution of a sample taken from a Wright-Fisher diffusion with general small mutation rates is found using a coalescent approach. The approximation is equivalent to having at most one mutation in the coalescent tree of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-12 Conrad J. Burden , Robert C. Griffiths

Consider the diffusion process defined by the forward equation $u_t(t, x) = \tfrac{1}{2}\{x u(t, x)\}_{xx} - \alpha \{x u(t, x)\}_{x}$ for $t, x \ge 0$ and $-\infty < \alpha < \infty$, with an initial condition $u(0, x) = \delta(x - x_0)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Conrad J. Burden , Robert C. Griffiths

A Galton-Watson process in varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. Based on a two-spine decomposition technique, we provide a probabilistic argument of a Yaglom-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

We consider a continuous population whose dynamics is described by the standard stationary Fleming-Viot process, so that the genealogy of $n$ uniformly sampled individuals is distributed as the Kingman $n$-coalescent. In this note, we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

In this paper, we study the Galton-Watson process in the random environment for the particular case when the number of the offsprings in each generation has the fractional linear generation function with random parameters. In this case, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Dan Han , Stanislav Molchanov , Yanjmaa Jutmaan

We apply recently developed inference methods based on general coalescent processes to DNA sequence data obtained from various marine species. Several of these species are believed to exhibit so-called shallow gene genealogies, potentially…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-06 Matthias Steinrücken , Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath

Widely used models in genetics include the Wright-Fisher diffusion and its moment dual, Kingman's coalescent. Each has a multilocus extension but under neither extension is the sampling distribution available in closed-form, and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Paul A. Jenkins , Paul Fearnhead , Yun S. Song