Coalescence and sampling distributions for Feller diffusions
Abstract
Consider the diffusion process defined by the forward equation for and , with an initial condition . This equation was introduced and solved by Feller to model the growth of a population of independently reproducing individuals. We explore important coalescent processes related to Feller's solution. For any and we calculate the distribution of the random variable , defined as the finite number of ancestors at a time in the past of a sample of size taken from the infinite population of a Feller diffusion at a time since since its initiation. In a subcritical diffusion we find the distribution of population and sample coalescent trees from time back, conditional on non-extinction as . In a supercritical diffusion we construct a coalescent tree which has a single founder and derive the distribution of coalescent times.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2210.12894,
title = {Coalescence and sampling distributions for Feller diffusions},
author = {Conrad J. Burden and Robert C. Griffiths},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2210.12894},
year = {2023}
}
Comments
32 pages, 6 figures. New diagrams have been added and some rewording to sections 1 to 6. Section 7 of the original manuscript contained an error which has necessitated rewriting the original sections 7 to 9 as a new and more straightforward Section 7 which contains new results as a theorem and a corollary