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We extend the spatial $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot process introduced in [Electron. J. Probab. 15 (2010) 162-216] to incorporate recombination. The process models allele frequencies in a population which is distributed over the two-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-28 A. M. Etheridge , A. Véber

We consider a multi-type Galton-Watson branching processes, where the largest in magnitude positive eigenvalue $\rho$ of the first moments matrix is close to unity. Specifically, we examine the random vector representing the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-24 T. B. Lysetskyi , Ya. I. Yeleiko

We present a new model for seed banks, where direct ancestors of individuals may have lived in the near as well as the very far past. The classical Wright-Fisher model, as well as a seed bank model with bounded age distribution considered…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-02 Jochen Blath , Adrian González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , Dario Spanò

1 Sharp prediction of extinction times is needed in biodiversity monitoring and conservation management. 2 The Galton-Watson process is a classical stochastic model for describing population dynamics. Its evolution is like the matrix…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-29 B Cloez , T Daufresne , M Kerioui , B Fontez

We study the limiting behavior of a Bienayme-Galton-Watson tree conditioned to have a large number of vertices and either a fixed number of leaves or a fixed number of internal nodes. The first biconditioning gives a universal result with…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Vanessa Dan

Branching processes model the evolution of populations of agents that randomly generate offsprings. These processes, more patently Galton-Watson processes, are widely used to model biological, social, cognitive, and technological phenomena,…

Applications · Statistics 2013-02-26 Fabricio Murai , Bruno Ribeiro , Don Towsley , Krista Gile

We are interested in the genealogical structure of alleles for a Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson branching process with neutral mutations (infinite alleles model), in the situation where the initial population is large and the mutation rate small.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-25 Jean Bertoin

We propose a general framework for the study of the genealogy of neutral discrete-time populations. We remove the standard assumption of exchangeability of offspring distributions appearing in Cannings' models, and replace it by a less…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-18 Arno Siri-Jégousse , Alejandro H. Wences

We introduce a stochastic model of a population with overlapping generations and arbitrary levels of self-fertilization versus outcrossing. We study how the global graph of reproductive relationships, or population pedigree, influences the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-20 Maximillian Newman , John Wakeley , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Götz Kersting

Aging, the process of growing old or maturing, is one of the most widely seen natural phenomena in the world. For the stochastic processes, sometimes the influence of aging can not be ignored. For example, in this paper, by analyzing the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-11-30 Wanli Wang , Weihua Deng

We introduce and study a model of plane random trees generalizing the famous Bienaym\'e--Galton--Watson model but where births and deaths are locally correlated. More precisely, given a random variable $(B,H)$ with values in $\{1,2,3,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Ariane Carrance , Jérôme Casse , Nicolas Curien

This paper is concerned with an extended Galton-Watson process so as to allow individuals to live and reproduce for more than one unit time. We assume that each individual can live $k$ seasons (time-units) with probability $h_k$, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 J. R. Tan , J. P. Li

We show that given a log-concave offspring distribution, the corresponding sequence of Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees conditioned to have $n\geq 1$ vertices admits a realization as a Markov process $(T_n)_{n\geq1}$ which adds a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 William Fleurat

The Ancestral Selection Graph (ASG) is an important genealogical process which extends the well-known Kingman coalescent to incorporate natural selection. We show that the number of lineages of the ASG with and without mutation is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Philip A. Hanson , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spanò

The distributed genome hypothesis states that the set of genes in a population of bacteria is distributed over all individuals that belong to the specific taxon. It implies that certain genes can be gained and lost from generation to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-08 F. Baumdicker , W. R. Hess , P. Pfaffelhuber

We are interested in the structure of multitype Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson (BGW) trees conditioned on integer linear combinations of the numbers of vertices of given types. We show that, under regularity assumptions on the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Rémy Poudevigne , Paul Thévenin

We study the iterated Galton-Watson process (IGW), possibly with thinning, introduced by Gawe{\l}and Kimmel to model the number of repeats of DNA triplets during some genetic disorders. If the process involves some thinning, then extinction…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Didier Piau

The classical model for the genealogies of a neutrally evolving population in a fixed environment is due to Kingman. Kingman's coalescent process, which produces a binary tree, universally emerges from many microscopic models in which the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-05 Ethan Levien

Consider a population evolving from year to year through three seasons: spring, summer and winter. Every spring starts with $N$ dormant individuals waking up independently of each other according to a given distribution. Once an individual…

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