Related papers: A phase transition for measure-valued SIR epidemic…

In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent $p-$coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…

Birth-death processes track the size of a univariate population, but many biological systems involve interaction between populations, necessitating models for two or more populations simultaneously. A lack of efficient methods for…

We consider a Markov jump process on a general state space to which we apply a time-dependent weak perturbation over a finite time interval. By martingale-based stochastic calculus, under a suitable exponential moment bound for the…

We show that the SDE $dX_t = \sigma(X_{t-}) \, dL_t$, $X_0 \sim \mu$ driven by a one-dimensional symnmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process $(L_t)_{t \geq 0}$, $\alpha \in (0,2]$, has a unique weak solution for any continuous function…

We consider a $d$-dimensional continuous martingale $X(t)$ with quadratic variation matrix $\langle X\rangle_t=\int_0^t \Sigma(s)\,ds$ and develop tests for the rank of its spot covariance matrix $\Sigma(t)$, $t\in[0,1]$. The process $X$ is…

Let $a$ be a finite signed measure on $[-r, 0]$ with $r \in (0, \infty)$. Consider a stochastic process $(X^{(\vartheta)}(t))_{t\in[-r,\infty)}$ given by a linear stochastic delay differential equation \[ \mathrm{d} X^{(\vartheta)}(t) =…

We consider Volterra Gaussian processes on [0,T], where T>0 is a fixed time horizon. These are processes of type X_t=\int^t_0 z_X(t,s)dW_s, t\in[0,T], where z_X is a square-integrable kernel, and W is a standard Brownian motion. An example…

In this article, we solve the problem of the long time behaviour of transition probabilities of time-inhomogeneous Markov processes and give a unified approach to stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with periodic, quasi-periodic,…

We consider a symmetric finite-range contact process on $\mathbb{Z}$ with two types of particles (or infections), which propagate according to the same supercritical rate and die (or heal) at rate $1$. Particles of type $1$ can enter any…

We study a two dimensional version of Neuhauser's long range sexual reproduction model and prove results that give bounds on the critical values $\lambda_f$ for the process to survive from a finite set and $\lambda_e$ for the existence of a…

Let $\xi$ be a Dawson--Watanabe superprocess in $\mathbb{R}^d$ such that $\xi_t$ is a.s. locally finite for every $t\geq 0$. Then for $d\geq2$ and fixed $t>0$, the singular random measure $\xi_t$ can be a.s. approximated by suitably…

Suppose that $X=\{X_t, t\ge 0; \mathbb{P}_{\mu}\}$ is a supercritical superprocess in a locally compact separable metric space $E$. Let $\phi_0$ be a positive eigenfunction corresponding to the first eigenvalue $\lambda_0$ of the generator…

Let $X$ and $Y$ denote two independent squared Bessel processes of dimension $m$ and $n-m$, respectively, with $n\geq 2$ and $m \in [0, n)$, making $X+Y$ a squared Bessel process of dimension $n$. For appropriately chosen function $s$, the…

For any discrete-time $P$--local martingale $S$ there exists a probability measure $Q \sim P$ such that $S$ is a $Q$--martingale. A new proof for this result is provided. The core idea relies on an appropriate modification of an argument by…

We use the abstract method of (local) martingale problems in order to give criteria for convergence of stochastic processes. Extending previous notions, the formulation we use is neither restricted to Markov processes (or semimartingales),…

In this work we propose a measure-valued stochastic process representing the dynamics of a virus population, structured by phenotypic traits and geographical space, and where viruses are transported between spatial locations by mechanical…

In this paper we are concerned with contact processes with random edge weights on rooted regular trees. We assign i.i.d weights on each edge on the tree and assume that an infected vertex infects its healthy neighbor at rate proportional to…

This paper is a further study of Reference \cite{Xue2015}. We are concerned with the contact process with random vertex weights on the oriented lattice. Our main result gives the asymptotic behavior of the survival probability of the…

For a measure preserving transformation $T$ of a probability space $(X,\mathcal F,\mu)$ we investigate almost sure and distributional convergence of random variables of the form $$x \to \frac{1}{C_n} \sum_{i_1<n,...,i_d<n}…

In the simple mean-field SIS and SIR epidemic models, infection is transmitted from infectious to susceptible members of a finite population by independent p-coin tosses. Spatial variants of these models are proposed, in which finite…