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In this paper, we are concerned with stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-removed epidemics on complete graphs with vertex-dependent transition rates. Large and moderate deviations of empirical density fields of our models are given.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Xiaofeng Xue , Xueting Yin

We consider a general piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) $X=\{X_t\}_{t\geqslant 0}$ with measure-valued generator $\mathcal{A}$, for which the conditional distribution function of the inter-occurrence time is not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Zhaoyang Liu , Yuying Liu , Guoxin Liu

We consider a branching Brownian motion in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We prove that there exists a random subset $\Theta$ of $\mathbb{S}^{d-1}$ such that the limit of the derivative martingale exists simultaneously for all directions $\theta \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Roman Stasiński , Julien Berestycki , Bastien Mallein

We study a discrete Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of infectious disease on a homogeneous tree and the limit behavior of the model in the case when the tree vertex degree tends to infinity. We obtain the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Alexander Gairat , Vadim Shcherbakov

In [CSZ23], the authors proved the convergence of the finite dimensional time distribution of the rescaled random fields derived from the discrete stochastic heat equation of $2d$-directed polymers in random environment in the critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Makoto Nakashima

In the standard SIR model, infected vertices infect their neighbors at rate $\lambda$ independently across each edge. They also recover at rate $\gamma$. In this work we consider the SIR-$\omega$ model where the graph structure itself…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Wenze Chen , Yuewen Hou , Dong Yao

In this article, we prove that the measures $\mathbb{Q}_T$ associated to the one-dimensional Edwards' model on the interval $[0,T]$ converge to a limit measure $\mathbb{Q}$ when $T$ goes to infinity, in the following sense: for all $s\geq0$…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-25 Joseph Najnudel

We establish weak well-posedness for critical symmetric stable driven SDEs in R d with additive noise Z, d $\ge$ 1. Namely, we study the case where the stable index of the driving process Z is $\alpha$ = 1 which exactly corresponds to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Paul-Eric Chaudru de Raynal , Stephane Menozzi , Enrico Priola

We consider the natural definition of DLR measure in the setting of $\sigma$-finite measures on countable Markov shifts. We prove that the set of DLR measures contains the set of conformal measures associated with Walters potentials. In the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-11 Elmer R. Beltrán , Rodrigo Bissacot , Eric O. Endo

This paper extends results of Mortimer and Williams (1991) about changes of probability measure up to a random time under the assumptions that all martingales are continuous and that the random time avoids stopping times. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Dörte Kreher

Stochastic processes wherein the size of the state space is changing as a function of time offer models for the emergence of scale-invariant features observed in complex systems. I consider such a sample-space reducing (SSR) stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-04 Avinash Chand Yadav

We discuss the criticality in the stochastic SIR model for infectious diseases. We adopt the path-integral formalism for the propagation of infections among susceptible, infectious, and removed individuals, and perform the perturbative and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-14 Shigehiro Yasui , Yutaka Hatakeyama , Yoshiyasu Okuhara

This article is devoted to the analysis of a particle system model for epidemics among a finite population with susceptible, infective and removed individuals (SIR). The infection mechanism depends on the relative distance between…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Monia Capanna

A stable-like process is a Feller process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ taking values in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and whose generator behaves, locally, like an $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process, but the index $\alpha$ and all other characteristics may depend on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 V. Knopova , A. Kulik , R. Schilling

Let $(W,H,\mu)$ be the classical Wiener space on $\R^d$. Assume that $X=(X_t)$ is a diffusion process satisfying the stochastic differential equation $dX_t=\sigma(t,X)dB_t+b(t,X)dt$, where $\sigma:[0,1]\times C([0,1],\R^n)\to \R^n\otimes…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-09 Ali Süleyman Üstünel

We investigate a modified one-dimensional contact process with varying infection rates. Specifically, the infection spreads at rate $\lambda_e$ along the boundaries of the infected region and at rate $\lambda_i$ elsewhere. We establish the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Célio Terra

Existence and uniqueness of solutions to the stochastic porous media equation $dX-\D\psi(X) dt=XdW$ in $\rr^d$ are studied. Here, $W$ is a Wiener process, $\psi$ is a maximal monotone graph in $\rr\times\rr$ such that $\psi(r)\le C|r|^m$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-10 Viorel Barbu , Michael Röckner , Francesco Russo

We obtain functional central limit theorems for both discrete time expressions of the form $1/\sqrt{N}\sum_{n=1}^{[Nt]}(F(X(q_1(n)),\ldots, X(q_{\ell}(n)))-\bar{F})$ and similar expressions in the continuous time where the sum is replaced…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

In this work, we study the evolution of the susceptible individuals during the spread of an epidemic modeled by the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) process spreading on the top of complex networks. Using an edge-based compartmental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

In a previous work, we associated with any submartingale $X$ of class $(\Sigma)$, defined on a filtered probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P}, (\mathcal{F}_t)_{t \geq 0})$ satisfying some technical conditions, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-16 Joseph Najnudel , Ashkan NIkeghbali