English
Related papers

Related papers: Is Brownian motion necessary to model high-frequen…

200 papers

We conduct an extensive evaluation of price jump tests based on high-frequency financial data. After providing a concise review of multiple alternative tests, we document the size and power of all tests in a range of empirically relevant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-22 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Gael M. Martin , Catherine S. Forbes

This paper proposes a novel test for simultaneous jumps in a bivariate It\^o semimartingale when observation times are asynchronous and irregular. Inference is built on a realized correlation coefficient for the jumps of the two processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Ole Martin , Mathias Vetter

Suppose that a sequence of data points follows a distribution of a certain parametric form, but that one or more of the underlying parameters may change over time. This paper addresses various natural questions in such a framework. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Nils Lid Hjort , Alex J. Koning

Statistical analysis of financial data most focused on testing the validity of Brownian motion (Bm). Analysis performed on several time series have shown deviation from the Bm hypothesis, that is at the base of the evaluation of many…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Filippo Petroni , Giulia Rotundo

In this work we address the problem of detecting whether a sampled probability distribution of a random variable $V$ has infinite first moment. This issue is notably important when the sample results from complex numerical simulation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Héctor Olivero , Denis Talay

This paper introduces a test for fractional integration in a model that possibly contains smooth deterministic trends. We model the trend component using a Chebyshev polynomial and specify the short-run dynamics semi-parametrically,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-27 Mustafa R. Kılınç , Michael Massmann

We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday return are described by a discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov process and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-24 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

Motivated by the need to statistically quantify differences between modern (complex) data-sets which commonly result as high-resolution measurements of stochastic processes varying over a continuum, we propose novel testing procedures to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-15 Anne van Delft , Holger Dette

We consider various problems related to the persistence probability of fractional Brownian motion (FBM), which is the probability that the FBM $X$ stays below a certain level until time $T$. Recently, Oshanin et al. study a physical model…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Frank Aurzada , Christoph Baumgarten

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

We consider a process $X_t$, which is observed on a finite time interval $[0,T]$, at discrete times $0,\Delta_n,2\Delta_n,\ldots.$ This process is an It\^{o} semimartingale with stochastic volatility $\sigma_t^2$. Assuming that $X$ has…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-26 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

Brownian motion in one or more dimensions is extensively used as a stochastic process to model natural and engineering signals, as well as financial data. Most works dealing with multidimensional Brownian motion consider the different…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-10 Michał Balcerek , Adrian Pacheco-Pozo , Agnieszka Wyłomanska , Krzysztof Burnecki , Diego Krapf

We investigated the quality of forecasting of fractional Brownian motion, and new method for estimating of Hurst exponent is validated. Stochastic model of the time series in the form of converted fractional Brownian motion is proposed. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Valeria Bondarenko , Victor Bondarenko , Kiryl Truskovsky , Ina Taralova

Stochastic process exhibiting power-law slopes in the frequency domain are frequently well modeled by fractional Brownian motion (fBm). In particular, the spectral slope at high frequencies is associated with the degree of small-scale…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-13 J. M. Lilly , A. M. Sykulski , J. J Early , S. C. Olhede

We analyze the effect of additive fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H > \frac{1}{2}$ on fast-slow systems. Our strategy is based on sample paths estimates, similar to the approach by Berglund and Gentz in the Brownian motion case. Yet,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Katharina Eichinger , Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

We consider the problem of testing the parametric form of the volatility for high frequency data. It is demonstrated that in the presence of microstructure noise commonly used tests do not keep the preassigned level and are inconsistent.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

Consider the sum $Y=B+B(H)$ of a Brownian motion $B$ and an independent fractional Brownian motion $B(H)$ with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Even though $B(H)$ is not a semimartingale, it was shown in [\textit{Bernoulli} \textbf{7} (2001)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Fabian Mies

The scope of this manuscript is to review some recent developments in statistics for discretely observed semimartingales which are motivated by applications for financial markets. Our journey through this area stops to take closer looks at…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger

We consider functional data which have only been observed on a subset of their domain. This paper aims to develop statistical tests to determine whether the function and the domain over which it is observed are independent. The assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Maximilian Ofner , Siegfried Hörmann , David Kraus , Dominik Liebl