English

A hypothesis test for the domain of attraction of a random variable

Statistics Theory 2024-07-16 v3 Statistics Theory

Abstract

In this work we address the problem of detecting whether a sampled probability distribution of a random variable VV has infinite first moment. This issue is notably important when the sample results from complex numerical simulation methods. For example, such a situation occurs when one simulates stochastic particle systems with complex and singular McKean-Vlasov interaction kernels. As stated, the detection problem is ill-posed. We thus propose and analyze an asymptotic hypothesis test for independent copies of a given random variable which is supposed to belong to an unknown domain of attraction of a stable law. The null hypothesis H0\mathbf{H_0} is: `X=VX=\sqrt{V} is in the domain of attraction of the Normal law' and the alternative hypothesis is H1\mathbf{H_1}: `XX is in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index smaller than 2'. Our key observation is that~XX cannot have a finite second moment when H0\mathbf{H_0} is rejected (and therefore H1\mathbf{H_1} is accepted). Surprisingly, we find it useful to derive our test from the statistics of random processes. More precisely, our hypothesis test is based on a statistic which is inspired by methodologies to determine whether a semimartingale has jumps from the observation of one single path at discrete times. We justify our test by proving asymptotic properties of discrete time functionals of Brownian bridges.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2210.07885,
  title  = {A hypothesis test for the domain of attraction of a random variable},
  author = {Héctor Olivero and Denis Talay},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2210.07885},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

35 pages, 4 figures