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This article proposes a novel test for the martingale difference hypothesis based on the martingale difference divergence function, a recently developed dependence measure suitable for measuring the degree of conditional mean dependence of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-10 Luca Mattia Rolla

Starting from the seventies mathematicians face the question whether a non-negative local martingale is a true or a strict local martingale. In this article we answer this question from a semimartingale perspective. We connect the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-10 David Criens , Kathrin Glau

This work is concerned with tests on structural breaks in the spot volatility process of a general It\^o semimartingale based on discrete observations contaminated with i.i.d. microstructure noise. We construct a consistent test building up…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Markus Bibinger , Mehmet Madensoy

Given a positive random variable $X$, $X\ge0$ a.s., a null hypothesis $H_0:E(X)\le\mu$ and a random sample of infinite size of $X$, we construct test supermartingales for $H_0$, i.e. positive processes that are supermartingale if the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 Harrie Hendriks

We derive a nonparametric test for constant beta over a fixed time interval from high-frequency observations of a bivariate \Ito semimartingale. Beta is defined as the ratio of the spot continuous covariation between an asset and a risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Markus Reiß , Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

A semi-martingale reflecting Brownian motion is a popular process for diffusion approximations of queueing models including their networks. In this paper, we are concerned with the case that it lives on the nonnegative half-line, but the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Masakiyo Miyazawa

The problem of verifying whether a multi-component system has anomalies or not is addressed. Each component can be probed over time in a data-driven manner to obtain noisy observations that indicate whether the selected component is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Dhruva Kartik , Ashutosh Nayyar , Urbashi Mitra

Practical problems with missing data are common, and statistical methods have been developed concerning the validity and/or efficiency of statistical procedures. On a central focus, there have been longstanding interests on the mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-26 Rui Duan , C. Jason Liang , Pamela Shaw , Cheng Yong Tang , Yong Chen

We study boundary inference at $H=3/4$ for mixed fractional Brownian motion and mixed fractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck models under high-frequency observation. This boundary is economically important because it separates the critical and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang , Weilin Xiao , Cong Zhang

While scale invariance is commonly observed in each component of real world multivariate signals, it is also often the case that the inter-component correlation structure is not fractally connected, i.e., its scaling behavior is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Herwig Wendt , Gustavo Didier , Sébastien Combrexelle , Patrice Abry

In this paper we describe three stochastic models based on a semi-Markov chains approach and its generalizations to study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks. The three models are: a simple semi-Markov chain model, an indexed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-16 G. D'Amico , F. Petroni , F. Prattico

The typical central limit theorems in high-frequency asymptotics for semimartingales are results on stable convergence to a mixed normal limit with an unknown conditional variance. Estimating this conditional variance usually is a hard…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Mathias Vetter

The balance held by Brownian motion between temporal regularity and randomness is embodied in a remarkable way by Levy's forgery of continuous functions. Here we describe how this property can be extended to forge arbitrary dependences…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-11 Vincent Wens

Given nonstationary data, one generally wants to extract the trend from the noise by smoothing or filtering. However, it is often important to delineate a third intermediate category, that we call high frequency (HF) features: this is the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-02 Mathieu Mezache , Marc Hoffmann , Human Rezaei , Marie Doumic

An ordinary differential equation perturbed by a null-recurrent diffusion will be considered in the case where the averaging type perturbation is strong only when a fast motion is close to the origin. The normal deviations of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-24 Zsolt Pajor-Gyulai , Michael Salins

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the Hurst exponent of the fractional Brownian motion from continuous time noisy sample. Consistent estimation in the setup under consideration is possible only if either the length of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-09 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna

When the target variable exhibits a semicontinuous behaviour (i.e. a point mass in a single value and a continuous distribution elsewhere) parametric `two-part regression models' have been extensively used and investigated. In this paper, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-14 Emanuela Dreassi , Emilia Rocco

We consider a multiscale system of stochastic differential equations in which the slow component is perturbed by a small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H>1/2$ and the fast component is driven by an independent Brownian motion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Siragan Gailus , Ioannis Gasteratos

Granger-causality in the frequency domain is an emerging tool to analyze the causal relationship between two time series. We propose a bootstrap test on unconditional and conditional Granger-causality spectra, as well as on their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-07 Matteo Farné , Angela Montanari

We present a Bayesian inference scheme for scaled Brownian motion, and investigate its performance on synthetic data for parameter estimation and model selection in a combined inference with fractional Brownian motion. We include the…