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We consider a class of fractional stochastic volatility models (including the so-called rough Bergomi model), where the volatility is a superlinear function of a fractional Gaussian process. We show that the stock price is a true martingale…
In this paper, we propose a nonparametric way to test the hypothesis that time-variation in intraday volatility is caused solely by a deterministic and recurrent diurnal pattern. We assume that noisy high-frequency data from a discretely…
When the outcome of interest is semicontinuous and collected longitudinally, efficient testing can be difficult. Daily rainfall data is an excellent example which we use to illustrate the various challenges. Even under the simplest…
We consider the problem of tracking a target whose dynamics is modeled by a continuous It\=o semi-martingale. The aim is to minimize both deviation from the target and tracking efforts. We establish the existence of asymptotic lower bounds…
The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…
We formulate nonparametric and semiparametric hypothesis testing of multivariate stationary linear time series in a unified fashion and propose new test statistics based on estimators of the spectral density matrix. The limiting…
The t-statistic is a widely-used scale-invariant statistic for testing the null hypothesis that the mean is zero. Martingale methods enable sequential testing with the t-statistic at every sample size, while controlling the probability of…
Let ${S_t^H, t \geq 0} $ be a linear combination of a Brownian motion and of an independent sub-fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $0 < H < 1$. Its main properties are studied and it is shown that $S^H $ can be considered as an…
This paper investigates the problem to determine whether a given stochastic process generates a sampled Brownian filtration. A fairly general sufficient condition is obtained by applying the Frank H. Clarke contraction criteria to a…
The field of property testing of probability distributions, or distribution testing, aims to provide fast and (most likely) correct answers to questions pertaining to specific aspects of very large datasets. In this work, we consider a…
Many physical datasets are generated by collections of instruments that make measurements at regular time intervals. For such regular monitoring data, we extend the framework of half-spectral covariance functions to the case of…
Fractional Brownian motion (FBM) is the only Gaussian self-similar process with stationary increments. Its increment process, called fractional Gaussian noise, is ergodic and exhibits a property of power-like decaying autocorrelation…
This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically…
Hypothesis testing for the slope function in functional linear regression is of both practical and theoretical interest. We develop a novel test for the nullity of the slope function, where testing the slope function is transformed into…
Testing for association or dependence between pairs of random variables is a fundamental problem in statistics. In some applications, data are subject to selection bias that causes dependence between observations even when it is absent from…
This paper is the second of a series devoted to the study of the dynamics of the spectrum of large random matrices. We study general extensions of the partial differential equation arising to characterize the limit spectral measure of the…
Motivated by contemporary and rich applications of anomalous diffusion processes we propose a new statistical test for fractional Brownian motion, which is one of the most popular models for anomalous diffusion systems. The test is based on…
We consider the problem of quickly detecting a signal in a sensor network when the subset of sensors in which signal may be present is completely unknown. We formulate this problem as a sequential hypothesis testing problem with a simple…
We develop theory leading to testing procedures for the presence of a change point in the intraday volatility pattern. The new theory is developed in the framework of Functional Data Analysis. It is based on a model akin to the stochastic…
Missing data are frequently encountered in various disciplines and can be divided into three categories: missing completely at random (MCAR), missing at random (MAR) and missing not at random (MNAR). Valid statistical approaches to missing…