English

Rate-optimal estimation of mixed semimartingales

Statistics Theory 2024-10-28 v2 Probability Methodology Statistics Theory

Abstract

Consider the sum Y=B+B(H)Y=B+B(H) of a Brownian motion BB and an independent fractional Brownian motion B(H)B(H) with Hurst parameter H(0,1)H\in(0,1). Even though B(H)B(H) is not a semimartingale, it was shown in [\textit{Bernoulli} \textbf{7} (2001) 913--934] that YY is a semimartingale if H>3/4H>3/4. Moreover, YY is locally equivalent to BB in this case, so HH cannot be consistently estimated from local observations of YY. This paper pivots on another unexpected feature in this model: if BB and B(H)B(H) become correlated, then YY will never be a semimartingale, and HH can be identified, regardless of its value. This and other results will follow from a detailed statistical analysis of a more general class of processes called \emph{mixed semimartingales}, which are semiparametric extensions of YY with stochastic volatility in both the martingale and the fractional component. In particular, we derive consistent estimators and feasible central limit theorems for all parameters and processes that can be identified from high-frequency observations. We further show that our estimators achieve optimal rates in a minimax sense.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2207.10464,
  title  = {Rate-optimal estimation of mixed semimartingales},
  author = {Carsten H. Chong and Thomas Delerue and Fabian Mies},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2207.10464},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

Forthcoming in The Annals of Statistics

R2 v1 2026-06-25T01:07:00.717Z