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This manuscript proposes a novel empirical Bayes technique for regularizing regression coefficients in predictive models. When predictions from a previously published model are available, this empirical Bayes method provides a natural…

The popularity of the EM algorithm owes much to the 1977 paper by Dempster, Laird and Rubin. That paper gave the algorithm its name, identified the general form and some key properties of the algorithm and established its broad…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-04-12 Nan M. Laird

This paper presents foundational theoretical results on distributed parameter estimation for undirected probabilistic graphical models. It introduces a general condition on composite likelihood decompositions of these models which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-06-13 Yariv Dror Mizrahi , Misha Denil , Nando de Freitas

The ability to construct, use, and revise models is a crucial experimental physics skill. Many existing frameworks describe modeling in science education at introductory levels. However, most have limited applicability to the context of…

物理教育 · 物理学 2018-10-22 Dimitri R. Dounas-Frazer , H. J. Lewandowski

To improve word representation learning, we propose a probabilistic prior which can be seamlessly integrated with word embedding models. Different from previous methods, word embedding is taken as a probabilistic generative model, and it…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-09-22 Shaogang Ren , Dingcheng Li , Ping Li

Real number calculations on elementary functions are remarkably difficult to handle in mechanical proofs. In this paper, we show how these calculations can be performed within a theorem prover or proof assistant in a convenient and highly…

数学软件 · 计算机科学 2007-08-29 Marc Daumas , David Lester , César Muñoz

This paper is about the state estimation of timed probabilistic discrete event systems. The main contribution is to propose general procedures for developing state estimation approaches based on artificial neural networks. It is assumed…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-22 Omar Amri , Carla Seatzu , Alessandro Giua , Dimitri Lefebvre

This paper investigates improved testing inferences under a general multivariate elliptical regression model. The model is very flexible in terms of the specification of the mean vector and the dispersion matrix, and of the choice of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-01 T. F. N. Melo , S. L. P. Ferrari , A. G. Patriota

Power-expected-posterior (PEP) methodology, which borrows ideas from the literature on power priors, expected-posterior priors and unit information priors, provides a systematic way to construct objective priors. The basic idea is to use…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Anupreet Porwal , Abel Rodriguez

In this paper we present a simple method of deriving a posteriori error equalities and estimates for linear elliptic and parabolic partial differential equations. The error is measured in a combined norm taking into account both the primal…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-11-16 Immanuel Anjam , Dirk Pauly

In this paper we have proposed a median based estimator using known value of some population parameter(s) in simple random sampling. Various existing estimators are shown particular members of the proposed estimator. The bias and mean…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-08-15 Hemant K. Verma , Rajesh Singh , Florentin Smarandache

This report introduces general ideas and some basic methods of the Bayesian probability theory applied to physics measurements. Our aim is to make the reader familiar, through examples rather than rigorous formalism, with concepts such as:…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 G. D'Agostini

Estimating the parameters of general state-space models is a topic of importance for many scientific and engineering disciplines. In this paper we present an online parameter estimation algorithm obtained by casting our recently proposed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-02-25 Jimmy Olsson , Johan Westerborn

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

We revisit the pairing model of state spaces with new emergent states introduced in J. Phys. A: Math. Theor. 51 375002, 2018. We facilitate our analysis by introducing a simplified pairing model consisting of balls able to form pairs but…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-08-18 Roozbeh H. Pazuki , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

In this paper, we consider the problem of parameter estimating for a family of exponential distributions. We develop the improved estimation method, which generalized the James--Stein approach for a wide class of distributions. The proposed…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-08 S. B. Kologrivova , E. A. Pchelintsev

Recently, much attention has been focused on the replicability of scientific results, causing scientists, statisticians, and journal editors to examine closely their methodologies and publishing criteria. Experimental particle physicists…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-05-07 Thomas R. Junk , Louis Lyons

This paper provides a review of model selection and model averaging methods for multinomial probit models estimated using the MACML approach. The proposed approaches are partitioned into test based methods (mostly derived from the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-04 Manuel Batram , Dietmar Bauer

We discuss the simplified likelihood framework as a systematic approximation scheme for experimental likelihoods such as those originating from LHC experiments. We develop the simplified likelihood from the Central Limit Theorem keeping the…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2019-05-01 Andy Buckley , Matthew Citron , Sylvain Fichet , Sabine Kraml , Wolfgang Waltenberger , Nicholas Wardle

Mathematical ideas and approaches common in complexity-related fields have been fruitfully applied in experimental high energy physics also. We briefly review some of the cross-pollination that is occurring.

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 H. C. Eggers