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Using a proper model to characterize a time series is crucial in making accurate predictions. In this work we use time-varying autoregressive process (TVAR) to describe non-stationary time series and model it as a mixture of multiple stable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-17 Jie Ding , Mohammad Noshad , Vahid Tarokh

The detection of the abnormal area from urban data is a significant research problem. However, to the best of our knowledge, previous methods designed on spatio-temporal anomalies are road-based or grid-based, which usually causes the data…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-07-16 Huaishao Luo , Chuishi Meng , Bowen Wu , Junbo Zhang , Tianrui Li , Yu Zheng

A structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) process is a linear causal model for variables that evolve over a discrete set of time points and between which there may be lagged and instantaneous effects. The qualitative causal structure of an…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-19 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Jonas Wahl , Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

Symbolic Regression (SR) aims to discover interpretable equations from observational data, with the potential to reveal underlying principles behind natural phenomena. However, existing approaches often fall into the Pseudo-Equation Trap:…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Jing Xiao , Xinhai Chen , Jiaming Peng , Qinglin Wang , Menghan Jia , Zhiquan Lai , Guangping Yu , Dongsheng Li , Tiejun Li , Jie Liu

We propose a multiscale approach to time series autoregression, in which linear regressors for the process in question include features of its own path that live on multiple timescales. We take these multiscale features to be the recent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Rafal Baranowski , Yining Chen , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used for causal discovery and forecasting in multivariate time series analysis. In the high-dimensional setting, which is increasingly common in fields such as neuroscience and econometrics,…

Fitting autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series models requires model identification before parameter estimation. Model identification involves determining the order of the autoregressive and moving average components which is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-04-09 Yin Liu , Sam Davanloo Tajbakhsh

Time series observations are ubiquitous in astronomy, and are generated to distinguish between different types of supernovae, to detect and characterize extrasolar planets and to classify variable stars. These time series are usually…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2018-09-13 Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta , Wilfredo Palma

Structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models are widely used to analyze the simultaneous relationships between multiple time-dependent data. Various statistical inference methods have been studied to overcome the identification problems…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-18 Masato Shimokawa , Kou Fujimori

Errors are prevalent in time series data, such as GPS trajectories or sensor readings. Existing methods focus more on anomaly detection but not on repairing the detected anomalies. By simply filtering out the dirty data via anomaly…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2020-03-30 Aoqian Zhang , Shaoxu Song , Jianmin Wang , Philip S. Yu

In recent years, autoregressive models have had a profound impact on the description of astronomical time series as the observation of a stochastic process. These methods have advantages compared with common Fourier techniques concerning…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2016-01-27 M. König , J. Timmer , R. Staubert

There are a variety of industrial products that possess periodic textures or surfaces, such as carbon fiber textiles and display panels. Traditional image-based quality inspection methods for these products require identifying the periodic…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Peng Ye , Chengyu Tao , Juan Du

In chemical processing and bioprocessing, conventional online sensors are limited to measure only basic process variables like pressure and temperature, pH, dissolved O and CO$_2$ and viable cell density (VCD). The concentration of other…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2020-05-07 Semion Rozov

Our goal is to estimate causal interactions in multivariate time series. Using vector autoregressive (VAR) models, these can be defined based on non-vanishing coefficients belonging to respective time-lagged instances. As in most cases a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-08-13 Stefan Haufe , Guido Nolte , Klaus-Robert Mueller , Nicole Kraemer

Online system identification algorithms are widely used for monitoring, diagnostics and control by continuously adapting to time-varying dynamics. Typically, these algorithms consider a model structure that lacks parsimony and offers…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-28 Koen Classens , Rodrigo A. González , Tom Oomen

Temporal networks are commonly used to represent dynamical complex systems like social networks, simultaneous firing of neurons, human mobility or public transportation. Their dynamics may evolve on multiple time scales characterising for…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-02-27 Elsa Andres , Alain Barrat , Márton Karsai

In this paper, as opposed to the random phase masks, the structured illuminations with a pixel-dependent deterministic phase shift are considered to derandomize the model setup. The RAAR algorithm is modified to adapt to two or more…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-02-01 Ji Li , Tie Zhou

Learning representations that clearly distinguish between normal and abnormal data is key to the success of anomaly detection. Most of existing anomaly detection algorithms use activation representations from forward propagation while not…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-07-21 Gukyeong Kwon , Mohit Prabhushankar , Dogancan Temel , Ghassan AlRegib

Performative prediction is a framework accounting for the shift in the data distribution induced by the prediction of a model deployed in the real world. Ensuring rapid convergence to a stable solution where the data distribution remains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Pedram Khorsandi , Rushil Gupta , Mehrnaz Mofakhami , Simon Lacoste-Julien , Gauthier Gidel

Celestial objects exhibit a wide range of variability in brightness at different wavebands. Surprisingly, the most common methods for characterizing time series in statistics -- parametric autoregressive modeling -- is rarely used to…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2019-01-24 Eric D. Feigelson , G. Jogesh Babu , Gabriel A. Caceres