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Understanding the interplay between human behavioral phenomena and infectious disease dynamics has been one of the central challenges of mathematical epidemiology. However, socio-cognitive processes critical for the initiation of desired…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-01 Qingchu Wu , Tarik Hadzibeganovic , Xiao-Pu Han

A key problem in modelling the evolution dynamics of infectious diseases is the mathematical representation of the mechanism of transmission of the contagion. Models with a finite number of subpopulations can be described via systems of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-09 Sebastian Anita , Vincenzo Capasso

Disease awareness in infection dynamics can be modeled with adaptive contact networks whose rewiring rules reflect the attempt by susceptibles to avoid infectious contacts. Simulations of this type of models show an active phase with…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2012-12-06 Stefan Wieland , Tomas Aquino , Ana Nunes

Incorporating dynamic contact networks and delayed awareness into a contagion model with memory, we study the spreading patterns of infectious diseases in connected populations. It is found that the spread of an infectious disease is not…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-05-20 Li-Xin Zhong , Tian Qiu , Fei Ren , Ping-Ping Li , Bi-Hui Chen

We have performed individual-based lattice simulations of SIR and SEIR dynamics to investigate both the short and long-term dynamics of childhood epidemics. In our model, infection takes place through a combination of local and long-range…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca

A model of interacting agents, following plausible behavioral rules into a world where the Covid-19 epidemic is affecting the actions of everyone. The model works with (i) infected agents categorized as symptomatic or asymptomatic and (ii)…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2021-08-23 Gianpiero Pescarmona , Pietro Terna , Alberto Acquadro , Paolo Pescarmona , Giuseppe Russo , Emilio Sulis , Stefano Terna

Social interactions shape the patterns of spreading processes in a population. Techniques such as diaries or proximity sensors allow to collect data about encounters and to build networks of contacts between individuals. The contact…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-06-28 Rossana Mastrandrea , Alain Barrat

Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Network epidemiology's most important assumption is that the contact structure over which infectious diseases propagate can be represented as a static network. However, contacts are highly dynamic, changing at many time scales. In this…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Petter Holme

The structure of sexual contacts, its contacts network and its temporal interactions, play an important role in the spread of sexually transmitted infections. Unfortunately, that kind of data is very hard to obtain. One of the few…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-11 Alexsandro M. Carvalho , Sebastian Goncalves

In this study we present a dynamical agent-based model to investigate the interplay between the socio-economy of and SEIRS-type epidemic spreading over a geographical area, divided to smaller area districts and further to smallest area…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-07-20 Jan E. Snellman , Rafael A. Barrio , Kimmo K. Kaski , Maarit J. Käpylä

The analysis of contagion-diffusion processes in metapopulations is a powerful theoretical tool to study how mobility influences the spread of communicable diseases. Nevertheless, many metapopulation approaches use indistinguishable agents…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-04-20 Pablo Valgañón , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

Although there is always an interplay between the dynamics of information diffusion and disease spreading, the empirical research on the systemic coevolution mechanisms connecting these two spreading dynamics is still lacking. Here we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-07-07 Wei Wang , Quan-Hui Liu , Shi-Min Cai , Ming Tang , Lidia A. Braunstein , H. Eugene Stanley

We study epidemic spreading processes in large networks, when the spread is assisted by a small number of external agents: infection sources with bounded spreading power, but whose movement is unrestricted vis-\`a-vis the underlying network…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-04-15 Siddhartha Banerjee , Aditya Gopalan , Abhik Kumar Das , Sanjay Shakkottai

The contact process is an emblematic model of a non-equilibrium system, containing a phase transition between inactive and active dynamical regimes. In the epidemiological context, the model is known as the susceptible-infected-susceptible…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-05-12 Wout Merbis , Clélia de Mulatier , Philippe Corboz

Analytical studies of network epidemiology almost exclusively focus on the extreme situations where the time scales of network dynamics are well separated (longer or shorter) from that of epidemic propagation. In realistic scenarios,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-05-16 Chao-Ran Cai , Yuan-Yuan Nie , Petter Holme

An understanding of the disease spreading phenomenon based on a mathematical model is extremely needed for the implication of the correct policy measures to contain the disease propagation. Here, we report a new model namely the Ising-SIR…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-09-04 Dipak Patra

We study the dynamics of a spatially structured model of worldwide epidemics and formulate predictions for arrival times of the disease at any city in the network. The model is comprised of a system of ordinary differential equations…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2018-02-14 Lawrence M. Chen , Matt Holzer , Anne Shapiro

The use of network theory to model disease propagation on populations introduces important elements of reality to the classical epidemiological models. The use of random geometric graphs (RGG) is one of such network models that allows for…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-12-21 Ernesto Estrada , Sandro Meloni , Matthew Sheerin , Yamir Moreno

Given the growth of urbanization and emerging pandemic threats, more sophisticated models are required to understand disease propagation and investigate the impacts of intervention strategies across various city types. We introduce a fully…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-03 Nishant Kumar , Jimi B. Oke , Bat-hen Nahmias-Biran