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Entropy Search (ES) and Predictive Entropy Search (PES) are popular and empirically successful Bayesian Optimization techniques. Both rely on a compelling information-theoretic motivation, and maximize the information gained about the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-06 Zi Wang , Stefanie Jegelka

Finding Minimum Energy Configurations (MECs) is essential in fields such as physics, chemistry, and materials science, as they represent the most stable states of the systems. In particular, identifying such MECs in multi-component alloys…

材料科学 · 物理学 2025-01-27 Md Rajib Khan Musa , Yichen Qian , Jie Peng , David Cereceda

Cybersecurity threats highlight the need for robust network intrusion detection systems to identify malicious behaviour. These systems rely heavily on large datasets to train machine learning models capable of detecting patterns and…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Daniela Pinto , Ivone Amorim , Eva Maia , Isabel Praça

Causal discovery is a fundamental problem in statistics and has wide applications in different fields. Transfer Entropy (TE) is a important notion defined for measuring causality, which is essentially conditional Mutual Information (MI).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-09 Jian Ma

A primary objective of the NASA Earth-Sun Exploration Technology Office is to understand the observed Earth climate variability, thus enabling the determination and prediction of the climate's response to both natural and human-induced…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-11-20 Kevin H. Knuth , Anthony Gotera , Charles T. Curry , Karen A. Huyser , Kevin R. Wheeler , William B. Rossow

Combining machine learning with econometric analysis is becoming increasingly prevalent in both research and practice. A common empirical strategy involves the application of predictive modeling techniques to 'mine' variables of interest…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-22 Mochen Yang , Edward McFowland , Gordon Burtch , Gediminas Adomavicius

Fitting probabilistic models to data is often difficult, due to the general intractability of the partition function. We propose a new parameter fitting method, Minimum Probability Flow (MPF), which is applicable to any parametric model. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-21 Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Peter Battaglino , Michael R. DeWeese

Event detection (ED) is aimed to identify the key trigger words in unstructured text and predict the event types accordingly. Traditional ED models are too data-hungry to accommodate real applications with scarce labeled data. Besides,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-05-17 Siyuan Wang , Jianming Zheng , Xuejun Hu , Fei Cai , Chengyu Song , Xueshan Luo

In emergencies, high stake decisions often have to be made under time pressure and strain. In order to support such decisions, information from various sources needs to be collected and processed rapidly. The information available tends to…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Moritz Schneider , Lukas Halekotte , Tina Comes , Daniel Lichte , Frank Fiedrich

We propose a new method to obtain kinetic properties of infrequent events from molecular dynamics simulation. The procedure employs a recently introduced variational approach [Valsson and Parrinello, Phys. Rev. Lett. 113, 090601 (2014)] to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-08-19 James McCarty , Omar Valsson , Pratyush Tiwary , Michele Parrinello

In this letter we propose the use of physics techniques for entropy determination on constrained parameter optimization problems. The main feature of such techniques, the construction of an unbiased walk on energy space, suggests their use…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 A. R. Lima , M. Argollo de Menezes

Mixture model-based clustering has become an increasingly popular data analysis technique since its introduction over fifty years ago, and is now commonly utilized within a family setting. Families of mixture models arise when the component…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-11 Sanjeena Subedi , Paul D. McNicholas

While variable selection is essential to optimize the learning complexity by prioritizing features, automating the selection process is preferred since it requires laborious efforts with intensive analysis otherwise. However, it is not an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-29 Makiya Nakashima , Alex Sim , Youngsoo Kim , Jonghyun Kim , Jinoh Kim

Extreme event attribution (EEA), an approach for assessing the extent to which disasters are caused by climate change, is crucial for informing climate policy and legal proceedings. Machine learning is increasingly used for EEA by modeling…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Cassandra C. Chou , Scott L. Zeger , Benjamin Q. Huynh

This work proposes an event-triggered moving horizon estimation (ET-MHE) scheme for general nonlinear systems. The key components of the proposed scheme are a novel event-triggering mechanism (ETM) and the suitable design of the MHE cost…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-06 Isabelle Krauss , Julian D. Schiller , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

Machine learning algorithms are designed to capture complex relationships between features. In this context, the high dimensionality of data often results in poor model performance, with the risk of overfitting. Feature selection, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-18 Paolo Bonetti , Alberto Maria Metelli , Marcello Restelli

The MDR-EFE method of performing identification of relevant factors within a given collection X_1,...,X_n is developed for stratified samples in the case of binary response variable Y. We establish a criterion of strong consistency of…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-23 Alexander Bulinski , Alexey Kozhevin

Addressing complex meteorological processes at a fine spatial resolution requires substantial computational resources. To accelerate meteorological simulations, researchers have utilized neural networks to downscale meteorological variables…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-04-30 Jing Hu , Honghu Zhang , Peng Zheng , Jialin Mu , Xiaomeng Huang , Xi Wu

Data-Driven Response Regime Exploration and Identification (DR$^2$EI) is a novel and fully data-driven method for identifying and classifying response regimes of a dynamical system without requiring human intervention. This approach is a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-13 Maor Farid

This paper surveys some well-established approaches on the approximation of Bayes factors used in Bayesian model choice, mostly as covered in Chen et al. (2000). Our focus here is on methods that are based on importance sampling strategies…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-10-14 Jean-Michel Marin , Christian P. Robert