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A crucial point in the debate on feasibility of earthquake prediction is the dependence of an earthquake magnitude from past seismicity. Indeed, whilst clustering in time and space is widely accepted, much more questionable is the existence…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Eugenio Lippiello , Lucilla de Arcangelis , Cataldo Godano

Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

One of the main interests in seismology is the formulation of models able to describe the clustering in time occurrence of earthquakes. Analysis of the Southern California Catalog shows magnitude clustering in correspondence to temporal…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Eugenio Lippiello , Cataldo Godano , Lucilla de Arcangelis

Spatiotemporal clustering of earthquake events is a generally-established fact, and is important for designing models and assessment techniques in seismicity. Here, we investigate how this behavior can manifest in the statistical…

地球物理 · 物理学 2013-07-08 Rene C. Batac , Holger Kantz

We investigate the sequence of great earthquakes over the past century. To examine whether the earthquake record includes temporal clustering, we identify aftershocks and remove those from the record. We focus on the recurrence time,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2013-07-22 E. Ben-Naim , E. G. Daub , P. A. Johnson

We study the statistics of the recurrence times between earthquakes above a certain magnitude M$ in California. We find that the distribution of the recurrence times strongly depends on the previous recurrence time $\tau_0$. As a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 V. Livina , S. Tuzov , S. Havlin , A. Bunde

Short and long range interactions between earthquakes are attracting increasing interest. Scale invariant properties of seismicity in time, space and energy argue for the presence of complex triggering mechanisms where, like a cascade…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Patrizia Tosi , Valerio De Rubeis , Vittorio Loreto , Luciano Pietronero

Motivated by the fact that empirical time series of earthquakes exhibit long-range correlations in space and time and the Gutenberg-Richter distribution of magnitudes, we propose a simple fault model that can account for these types of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-01-29 Marco Baiesi

Using a catalog of seismicity for Southern California, we measure how the number of triggered earthquakes increases with the earthquake magnitude. The trade-off between this relation and the distribution of earthquake magnitudes controls…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Agnes Helmstetter

We analyze 21 aftershock sequences of California to test for evidence of space-time diffusion. Aftershock diffusion may result from stress diffusion and is also predicted by any mechanism of stress weakening. Here, we test an alternative…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Agnes Helmstetter , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

Extending the central concept of recurrence times for a point process to recurrent events in space-time allows us to characterize seismicity as a record breaking process using only spatiotemporal relations among events. Linking record…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Joern Davidsen , Peter Grassberger , Maya Paczuski

Spatiotemporal properties of seismicity are investigated for a worldwide (WW) catalog and for Southern California in the stationary case (SC), showing a nearly universal scaling behavior. Distributions of distances between consecutive…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Alvaro Corral

A recently proposed unified scaling law for interoccurrence times of earthquakes [P. Bak et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. {\bf 88}, 178501 (2002)] is analyzed, both theoretically and with data from Southern California. We decompose the…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

The number of earthquakes as a function of magnitude decays as a power law. This trend is usually justified using spring-block models, where slips with the appropriate global statistics have been numerically observed. However, prominent…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2010-05-24 E. A. Jagla , A. B. Kolton

If we assume that earthquakes are chaotic, and influenced locally then chaos theory suggests that there should be a temporal association between earthquakes in a local region that should be revealed with statistical examination. To date no…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-14 Parsa Rastin , Michael LuValle

We study statistical properties of the number of large earthquakes over the past century. We analyze the cumulative distribution of the number of earthquakes with magnitude larger than threshold M in time interval T, and quantify the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2012-03-30 Eric G. Daub , Eli Ben-Naim , Robert A. Guyer , Paul A. Johnson

Earthquakes occur because of abrupt slips on faults due to accumulated stress in the Earth's crust. Because most of these faults and their mechanisms are not readily apparent, deterministic earthquake prediction is difficult. For effective…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-31 Yosihiko Ogata

We quantify the correlation between earthquakes and use the same to distinguish between relevant causally connected earthquakes. Our correlation metric is a variation on the one introduced by Baiesi and Paczuski (2004). A network of…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-05-18 T. R. Krishna Mohan , P. G. Revathi

Trapped particles bursts have long been observed to be frequently occurred several hours before earthquakes, especially for strong earthquakes, from several space experiments during past decades. However, the validity of earthquake origin…

We show that the distribution of waiting times between earthquakes occurring in California obeys a simple unified scaling law valid from tens of seconds to tens of years, see Eq. (1) and Fig. 4. The short time clustering, commonly referred…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Per Bak , Kim Christensen , Leon Danon , Tim Scanlon
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